How will the Omicron variant affect Biden's approval rating?

[Skill and Chance]

As long as Biden is too indifferent to both the country's safety and his own electoral prospects to impose a universal vaccine mandate, down

Isn't the concern here whether or not the vaccines can still stop it? 

If that is the concern, the best course of action is to approve the 2 COVID pills ASAP and do whatever it takes to make them as widely available as birth control or antibiotics by Christmas. 

[Skill and Chance]

If it all blows over in 2 weeks, he can declare victory and might actually get an approval bump.  If this gets to the point where CDC and state health departments ask people not to celebrate Christmas with anyone outside of their household, it obviously goes way down, probably to Bush 2008 levels. 

[Skill and Chance]

If it all blows over in 2 weeks, he can declare victory and might actually get an approval bump.  If this gets to the point where CDC and state health departments ask people not to celebrate Christmas with anyone outside of their household, it obviously goes way down, probably to Bush 2008 levels. 

Probably 75%  of the population would ignore this anyway.

At the family/neighborhood level, this is likely true, but 90%+ of gatherings that involve corporations or nonprofits with lawyers would canceled if that's what the CDC advised.

[Skill and Chance]

The OSHA mandate is more likely to be upheld than not and even if it does get struck down, Roberts is likely to vote in favor of upholding it. 

[Skill and Chance]

The OSHA mandate is more likely to be upheld than not and even if it does get struck down, Roberts is likely to vote in favor of upholding it. 

You're probably right. I do think Roberts will uphold it, and it will probably be upheld by the Court in general, by something like 6-3 or 7-2. The three liberal justices, along with Roberts, Kavanaugh, Barrett, and possibly Gorsuch, would comprise the majority. Alito and Thomas are the two justices who I see voting against it at this time.

Hmmm... I see Gorsuch as the surest no vote, and Thomas as a nearly sure no as well.  Alito is more comfortable with coercive measures in general, but I'm almost sure he votes with the "right wing" position in a case this politically charged.  

But Barrett and Kavanaugh have so far been uninterested in any challenges to vaccination requirements and the one time they struck a COVID restriction down, it was a really strict one (no in-person church for months in certain counties in CA) and they did it very narrowly.   I would be surprised if the administration doesn't get at least one of them to uphold it, and the most likely outcome is they get both.