Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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Posts: 17,796
Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
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« on: November 19, 2021, 01:05:43 PM » |
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For Washington - no exact numbers, just eyeballing it.
206: Safe Biden, probably around a 50 point win for Biden, and trending further D.
253: Safe Biden, but by a much smaller margin, maybe 15 or so. No strong trend one way or the other.
360/564: Safe Biden, by around 10-15 points, trending D in the northern half and R in the southern half. The southern half is trending faster, but has a smaller population, so probably a modest D trend overall.
425: Safe Biden, hard to say by how much, but I'd guess maybe 15-20 points. Extremely quickly D trending.
509: Safe Trump, probably by around 10-15 points. No strong overall trend, but strong trends in both directions in sub-regions.
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