May Primaries Coverage Thread
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Author Topic: May Primaries Coverage Thread  (Read 1836 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« on: May 07, 2024, 12:21:57 PM »
« edited: May 10, 2024, 05:46:28 PM by Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon »
Going to just combine a few weeks here as I don't expect much discussion at this point.

May 7: Indiana
May 14: MD/NE/WV
May 21: Oregon (Beauty Contest for Rs) + KY
May 25: Oregon State Convention (R)
May 28: Idaho Caucus (D)
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: May 07, 2024, 12:23:42 PM »
Tonight, polls closing by 7 ET: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/05/07/us/elections/results-indiana-republican-presidential-primary.html

D side is not contested
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Malarkey Decider
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« Reply #2 on: May 07, 2024, 04:19:48 PM »
Is Indiana the last contest with Haley on the ballot?
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RI
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« Reply #3 on: May 07, 2024, 04:51:30 PM »
Quote from: Malarkey Decider on May 07, 2024, 04:19:48 PM
Is Indiana the last contest with Haley on the ballot?

Wikipedia says she is on the ballot in IN, MD, NE, WV, KY, and NM, but not in OR, NJ, or MT.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #4 on: May 07, 2024, 05:18:17 PM »
Curious to see how Haley does in Hamilton, Marion, and Monroe counties. Can she crack 20, even 30%?
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Malarkey Decider
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« Reply #5 on: May 07, 2024, 05:20:17 PM »
Haley getting 20% of the early vote in rural counties. Perhaps she ends up a little bit lower than she did in PA, maybe in low double digits. Still a lot of uncertainty.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #6 on: May 07, 2024, 05:21:18 PM »
32% for Haley in Hamilton, 34% in Bartholomew.
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icemanj
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« Reply #7 on: May 07, 2024, 05:41:17 PM »
Took the R ticket this time, Voted for Haley and Chambers. Polling place was empty at 10 AM.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #8 on: May 07, 2024, 05:48:26 PM »
Wait so what's the deal with Oregon? Is it not a legit primary?
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #9 on: May 07, 2024, 06:07:51 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on May 07, 2024, 05:48:26 PM
Wait so what's the deal with Oregon? Is it not a legit primary?

Delegates are awarded by the state convention
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #10 on: May 07, 2024, 06:09:04 PM »
An easy victory for Trump, although Haley is over 30% in 4 counties.
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Malarkey Decider
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« Reply #11 on: May 07, 2024, 07:45:37 PM »
A strong performance from Haley, who will end up with over 20% (115,000+ votes)
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The Mikado
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« Reply #12 on: May 07, 2024, 08:03:42 PM »
Quote from: Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon on May 07, 2024, 06:07:51 PM
Quote from: Eraserhead on May 07, 2024, 05:48:26 PM
Wait so what's the deal with Oregon? Is it not a legit primary?

Delegates are awarded by the state convention

You should point out you're talking about the GOP side.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #13 on: May 07, 2024, 09:31:31 PM »
Did Haley really do better in Indiana than she did in California and Texas? That is not something that was ever on my bingo card.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #14 on: May 07, 2024, 09:33:43 PM »
Quote from: The Mikado on May 07, 2024, 08:03:42 PM
Quote from: Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon on May 07, 2024, 06:07:51 PM
Quote from: Eraserhead on May 07, 2024, 05:48:26 PM
Wait so what's the deal with Oregon? Is it not a legit primary?

Delegates are awarded by the state convention

You should point out you're talking about the GOP side.

Indeed, I'm only interested in the Democratic Primary results tbh.
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7,052,770
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« Reply #15 on: May 07, 2024, 09:42:01 PM »
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #16 on: May 07, 2024, 10:48:26 PM »
Quote from: Malarkey Decider on May 07, 2024, 05:20:17 PM
Haley getting 20% of the early vote in rural counties. Perhaps she ends up a little bit lower than she did in PA, maybe in low double digits. Still a lot of uncertainty.

This aged poorly lol

Quote from: Roll Roons on May 07, 2024, 09:31:31 PM
Did Haley really do better in Indiana than she did in California and Texas? That is not something that was ever on my bingo card.

Yep!
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #17 on: May 08, 2024, 02:07:35 AM »
Quote from: 7,052,770 on May 07, 2024, 09:42:01 PM


Yeah, this is utterly embarrassing from Trump. Especially with this being the state that essentially gave him the nomination in 2016.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #18 on: May 08, 2024, 05:18:51 AM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on May 08, 2024, 02:07:35 AM
Yeah, this is utterly embarrassing from Trump. Especially with this being the state that essentially gave him the nomination in 2016.

I expected that he'd at least break 80%. It's not like the state is teeming with educated suburbanites like Virginia or Connecticut.
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MR DARK BRANDON
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« Reply #19 on: May 08, 2024, 07:58:44 AM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on May 08, 2024, 02:07:35 AM
Quote from: 7,052,770 on May 07, 2024, 09:42:01 PM


Yeah, this is utterly embarrassing from Trump. Especially with this being the state that essentially gave him the nomination in 2016.
If it weren’t for polls showing a dead heat race I’d honestly have a hard time seeing trump winning tbh
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The Mikado
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« Reply #20 on: May 08, 2024, 10:09:55 AM »
78-22 is about what I would've thought Trump Haley in Indiana would've looked like if Haley were still in the race, not two months later.
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Redban
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« Reply #21 on: May 08, 2024, 02:34:43 PM »
Were there other states that have had this sort of result since Haley withdrew ... maybe it's just Indiana, Mike Pence's homestate. The governor of Indiana has a 60+% approval rating, and he is a Pence ally
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MR DARK BRANDON
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« Reply #22 on: May 08, 2024, 02:35:15 PM »
Quote from: Redban on May 08, 2024, 02:34:43 PM
Were there other states that have had this sort of result since Haley withdrew ... maybe it's just Indiana, Mike Pence's homestate. The governor of Indiana has a 60+% approval rating, and he is a Pence ally
Wisconsin did I think, and PA
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #23 on: May 08, 2024, 09:48:18 PM »
Quote from: The Mikado on May 08, 2024, 10:09:55 AM
78-22 is about what I would've thought Trump Haley in Indiana would've looked like if Haley were still in the race, not two months later.

Maybe it's residual retributive support for Mike Pence?
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The Mikado
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« Reply #24 on: May 08, 2024, 11:23:58 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on May 08, 2024, 09:48:18 PM
Quote from: The Mikado on May 08, 2024, 10:09:55 AM
78-22 is about what I would've thought Trump Haley in Indiana would've looked like if Haley were still in the race, not two months later.

Maybe it's residual retributive support for Mike Pence?

Makes sense. Pence people hanging in there.
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