Will the Libertarian Party ever win a seat in the House or Senate? (user search)
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  Will the Libertarian Party ever win a seat in the House or Senate? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Will the Libertarian Party ever win a seat in the House or Senate?  (Read 3207 times)
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Adam T
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,434
« on: June 02, 2015, 03:17:37 PM »

the Libertarian Party has won a number of State House seats in Alaska and maybe a couple other states while the Constitution Party has won a seat once in Montana.  I believe the Liberty Union Party once won a few State House seats in Vermont.

As to the Libertarians or Greens or much less likely the Constitution Party ever winning a seat in the U.S House or Senate.  Never say never, but it seems virtually impossible at this point.  The average Libertarian candidate running against both a Democrat and a Republican gets around 2% of the vote and the Green Party does slightly worse.  Even in districts where either a Democrat or a Republican doesn't run, they are lucky to break 25% of the vote.

Somewhere around 25-40% of all aggregate votes for the Libertarian or Green Party comes from districts where either the Democrats or Republicans don't run a candidate.

The highest share of the vote for either a U.S Senate or Governors race for the Libertarians in 2014 was, in of all places, Vermont for the governors race where they received around 4.5% of the vote.  I can only guess that the allegations of Peter Shumlin ripping off a mentally challenged person played a role in the Libertarians relative success there.

In general, the Libertarians will have to do a much better job of 'quality control' when it comes to candidate selection if they ever want to be perceived as a serious party.  They certainly seem to emphasize quantity over quality.
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