Midnight in America

[Edgeofnight]

Midnight in America:

The Second Term of Donald Trump

Protests, sometimes violent ones, broke out across the country after Trump's victory, signalling a deep political divide.

Read Part One Here!

[Edgeofnight]

I am curious to know if you planned that Trump would get a second term at the start of Minutes of Midnight or if it just sort of happened as the plot went along

Somethings changed as I wrote the timeline.

• The biggest one is probably the Democratic Ticket. Origonally, it was Biden/Castro. Then it was gonna be Brown/Castro. Then Sanders/Castro, then finally I settled on Sanders/Gabbard
• RBG wasn't gonna die, but I figured it helped to raise the stakes
• Kasich and Flake's roles got switched at some point.
• The senate results I went back and forth on a lot. At bunch of states got flipped at some point. At the start, I had KY, WV, and NE flipping to the Dems instead of TX and AK. I also considered at some point have Jones win re-election, but the numbers really just wheren't there without a significant third party candidate. I already used that trick in Texas, didn't want to do it again.

But, at no point in the timeline, did I ever not have Trump winning a second term.

[Edgeofnight]

I'm gonna post the first update this Wednesday. The first few updates will be a tad slow, just because I'm busy with a new job and school.

[Edgeofnight]

Depression is a bitch and breakups suck. More Breaking News as 12.

On a serious note, I have the first update done. The motivation to post it escapes me time and time again, but it will be up eventually

[Edgeofnight]

January 22nd, 2021

Trump’s cabinet nominees run into trouble.

   Democrats are experiencing significant internal debate an infighting over the proper strategy on proceeding with the new Trump administration. Younger Progressives, such as Alexandria Ocasio Cortez (D-NY-14th) believe Democrats should push for impeachment, while older democrats, such as Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) should seek to work with Trump where they can.

January 28th, 2021

Schumer: Vacancy “can not last” until the next Presidential election.

   Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer has stated that he does not believe the Supreme Court Vacancy can last until the next election. “President Trump will appoint a Supreme Court Justice before the end of his second term.”

January 31st, 2021

U.S. Election Infrastructure was “highly vulnerable” in 2020 election; House to launch investigation into potential cyber attack against U.S. voting networks.

   Senate Intelligence Chairman Martin Heinrich has stated that the Committee will investigate a potential cyber attack on U.S. voting infrastructure, adding that “current evidence indicates that we where “highly vulnerable” in the previous election. “The U.S. must take action to prevent future attacks,” added House Intel Chairman Adam Schiff.

[Edgeofnight]

Sooo either Tiny Pic is down or Atlas doesn't take it anymore. Gonna wait and see if that changes. If not, then I'm gonna have to find an image hosting service that works and go back and fix all of the images from the first timeline and re-add them. Should be fun. I'll figure that out eventually. In the mean time, new update will be posted sometime tomorrow. I'm hoping to do two or three updates a week going forward.

[Edgeofnight]

February 8th, 2021

Schumer and Trump hold private meeting over Supreme Court Nominee.

   Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and President Donald Trump held a private meeting, with sources saying the two discussed the “Supreme Court Problem” for roughly two hours.

February 13th, 2021

Protests in response to Trump victory continue, growing violent.

   At a recent anti-Trump protest in Seattle, 16 protesters and counter-protesters were arrested for aggravated assault and battery, as well as vandalism, disrupting the peace, and for four of them, assaulting an officer.

February 15th, 2021

Justin Fairfax is running for VA-Gov, setting up primary battle with AG Mark Herring. Democrats want someone else.

   Embattled Lt. Governor Justin Fairfax has confirmed that, despite the sexual assault allegations against him, will seek the Democratic nomination for Virginia Governor. A large majority of Democrats want a different candidate.

February 17th, 2021

Senate kills Lee’s nomination in Committee

   The Judiciary Committee killed fellow Senator Mike Lee’s nomination to the Supreme Court. Senator Feinstein (D-CA), chairwoman of the committee, released a statement, writing: “Senator Lee has been a dedicated public servant, but his refusal to commit to the established precedent disqualifies him from the highest court in the country.”

February 21st, 2021

Congressman Josh Gottheimer to challenge Phil Murphy for Democratic Nomination for Governor.

   New Jersey Congressman Josh Gottheimer will challenge his own party’s governor in the primary. Gottheimer announced his bid attacking Murphy’s “poor leadership” and accusing the governor of “blatant corruption.”

2022 Generic Ballot Polling:
Democrats -- 50%
Republicans -- 39%
Serve America Movement -- 3%
Undecided/Others -- 9%
DEMOCRATS +9

New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Democratic Primary:
Governor Phil Murphy -- 46%
Congressmen Josh Gottheimer -- 34%
Undecided/Others -- 20%

New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Republican Primary (italics denotes an undeclared candidate):
Mr. Bob Hugin -- 29%
State Senate Minority Leader Tom Kean Jr. -- 20%
Mayor Randy Brown -- 17%
Fmr. Atlantic County Freeholder Seth Grossman -- 11%
Fmr. Cresskill Borough Councilman John McCann -- 7%
Undecided/Others -- 16%

Virginia Democratic Gubernatorial Primary:
Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 26%
Congresswoman Jennifer Wexton -- 17%
State Attorney General Mark Herring -- 15%
State Delegate Elieen Filler-Corn -- 11%
Lt. Governor Justin Fairfax -- 9%
Undecided/Others -- 22%

Virginia Republican Gubernatorial Primary:
Congressman Rob Wittman -- 27%
State Senator Jill Vogel -- 22%
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 17%
Fmr. Congressman Scott Taylor -- 11%
Mr. John Adams -- 6%
State Delegate Nick Freitas -- 5%
Undecided/Others -- 12%

[Edgeofnight]

February 22nd, 2021

Situation in Sudan reaches a boiling point as UN finds new evidence of Genocide in Darfur Region

   A UN Commission has found “persuasive evidence” of new genocide in the Darfur region. Sudan, who’s government has been unstable and in constant transition since 2019, has denied the evidence.   

February 24th, 2021

House Passes Massive Infrastructure Bill

   The Democratic controlled House has passed a massive, bipartisan infrastructure bill. The bill provides grants to low income areas to modernize public infrastructure.  The bill allocates nearly 10 Billion, and has drawn ire from both the left and right. Alexandria Ocasio Cortez (D-NY-14) who did not vote on the resolution, stated that the bill does not have enough safeguards to ensure that the money wasn’t funnelled away from low-income neighborhoods. Mark Meadows (R-NC-11) voted against the resolution, attacking it as “fiscally irresponsible.” It is unclear if president Trump will sign the bill.

February 24th, 2021

Kean takes himself out of the Governor’s race, “there is still work left to do.”

   State Senate Minority Leader and the son of a former Governor Tom Kean Jr. has taken himself out of consideration for Governor. He has citied a number of projects he has been working on in the State Legislature, and stated that he must ensure these are finished. Kean was recently defeated in a congressional bid by a narrow margin.

February 26th, 2021

Senate Confirms Branstad and McSally

   In a victory for President Trump, the Senate has confirmed two of Trump’s picks for vacant cabinet positions. In a 54-44 vote, Ambassador to China Terry Branstad has been confirmed to replace Mike Pompeo as Secretary of State. In a 57-41 vote, former Senator Martha McSally, who was defeated in her bid for re-election last year, will take office as Secretary of Defense.

February 27th, 2021

Whitaker’s nomination killed in Committee

   Contrasting with his other victories today, the Senate has formally defeated Matthew Whitaker’s nomination to serve as Attorney General. Whitaker, in a statement to the public, attacked Congressional Democrats as “obstructionist” and bias against him. He has also stated he is exploring legal action due to the “personal slander” he faced during his hearings.

March 1st, 2021

Lee Carter announces run for Governor, endorsed by Danica Roem and Tom Perriello.

Democratic Socialist State Delegate Lee Carter has announced a bid for governor with support from fellow Delegate Danica Roem and U.S. Senator Tom Perriello. His campaign is seeking to capture the support of the Progressive wing of the Democratic party. State Attorney General Mark Herring claimed that Carter was “too far left” to win in Virginia.

March 1st, 2021

1 Killed, 36 Arrested at Boston Protest.

   At an anti-Trump protest in Boston, 36 people have been arrested after violence broke out between protesters and counter protesters. Additionally, a local college student was trampled to death during the protests.

March 3rd, 2021

China vetoes UN action in Darfur

   As the UN debated taking action in Sudan, China has vetoed a resolution to create a peacekeeping mission to Sudan. In a statement, the Chinese Government claimed that they had “significant concerns about regional stability.”

March 3rd, 2021

[size=20]Phil Murphy has a second challenger[/size]

   Businessman Titus Pierce has officially filed paperwork to enter the Democratic Primary against Governor Phil Murphy and Congressman Josh Gottheimer. Pierce is an Iraqi War veteran and business owner, who is running as an outsider candidate hoping to break the party establishment.

March 3rd, 2021

Joe Manchin to leave Democratic Party and join the Serve America Movement

   Longtime Democratic Senator Joe Manchin has announced today that he will be departing the Democratic Party and will be joining the Serve America Movement within Congress. Manchin released a statement, accusing his Democratic colleagues of “shutting the door to any dissenting voices.” Republicans have long been lobbying Manchin to switch parties, and have somewhat accomplished their goals in this regard.

March 4th, 2021

New poll shows Phil Murphy trailing interparty challenger.

   In a new poll, Governor Phil Murphy has been found to be trailing Congressman Josh Gottheimer, 37%-35%, with Businessman Titus Pierce in a distant third. Gottheimer’s campaign released a statement, claiming that Governor Murphy has “ignored the issues impacting every day New Jerseyans. His blatant corruption has angered too many of his own constituents. “

2022 Generic Ballot Polling:
Democrats -- 50%
Republicans -- 40%
Serve America Movement -- 3%
Undecided/Others -- 7%
DEMOCRATS +10%

New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Democratic Primary:
Congressmen Josh Gottheimer -- 36%
Governor Phil Murphy -- 35%
Mr. Titus Pierce--8%
Undecided/Others -- 21%
GOTTHEIMER + 1%

New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Republican Primary (italics denotes an undeclared candidate):
Mr. Bob Hugin -- 37%
Mayor Randy Brown -- 21%
Fmr. Atlantic County Freeholder Seth Grossman -- 13%
Fmr. Cresskill Borough Councilman John McCann -- 9%
Undecided/Others -- 20%
BROWN +12%

Virginia Democratic Gubernatorial Primary:
Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 23%
Congresswoman Jennifer Wexton -- 19%
State Attorney General Mark Herring -- 13%
State Delegate Lee Carter -- 12%
State Delegate Elieen Filler-Corn -- 9%
Lt. Governor Justin Fairfax -- 8%
Undecided/Others -- 16%
HERRING +1%

Virginia Republican Gubernatorial Primary:
Congressman Rob Wittman -- 26%
State Senator Jill Vogel -- 24%
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 15%
Fmr. Congressman Scott Taylor -- 12%
Mr. John Adams -- 6%
State Delegate Nick Freitas -- 4%
Undecided/Others -- 12%
WITTMAN +20%

[Edgeofnight]

March 4th, 2021

Levar Stoney to run for Governor.

   Richmond Mayor Levar Stoney has announced his gubernatorial campaign. He enters an increasingly cluttered field as a high tier candidate. State Delegate Lee Carter welcomed Stoney to the field, and stated that he hoped he would “elevate the quality of debate on issues that affect everyday Virginians.”

March 5th, 2021

Trump nominates Thomas Hardiman to Supreme Court seat.

   President Trump has announced a new nominee for the Supreme Court. Appellate Judge Thomas Hardiman, who was a runner up for Justice Gorsuch’s and Justice Kavanaugh’s seats, is Trump’s pick to replace the late Justice Ginsburg

March 6th, 2021

Kamala Harris: Democrats should block Hardiman’s nomination

   California Senator, 2020 Democratic runner up, potential 2024 candidate and member of the Judiciary Committee Kamala Harris has stated that Congressional Democrats should actively block Thomas Hardiman's nomination. “He’s not fit to serve. Period”

March 6th, 2021

Barbara Comstock is running for Governor

The former Congresswoman is running for governor. She has received the endorsement of fmr. Congressman Scott Taylor and 2017 nominee Ed Gillespie, both individuals who where previously exploring a bid for the State's highest office.

March 7th, 2021

Bob Hugin running for New Jersey Governor, clearing Republican Primary.

      Businessman and 2018 senate candidate Bob Hugin has announced his campaign for Governor of New Jersey, receiving the endorsements of several prominent state and national Republicans and all but clearing the Republican primary. Hugin’s self funding ability and moderate positions make him an ideal challenger to Murphy in Republican eyes.

March 8th, 2021

Terry McAuliffe wants his old job back.

   Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe is running for Governor again. Virginia is the one state that bars it’s governor’s from seeking two consecutive terms. McAuliffe ran an anemic campaign for president, and since then has spent significant amount of time campaigning for Democrats in Virginia races. He is widely considered the front runner in the race.


2022 Generic Ballot Polling:
Democrats -- 49%
Republicans -- 41%
Serve America Movement -- 4%
Undecided/Others -- 5%
DEMOCRATS +8%

Approval of Donald Trump:
Disapprove -- 54%
Approve -- 35%
Unsure -- 11%


New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Democratic Primary:
Congressmen Josh Gottheimer -- 36%
Governor Phil Murphy -- 36%
Mr. Titus Pierce-- 9%
Undecided/Others -- 19%
EVEN

New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Republican Primary:
Mr. Bob Hugin -- 39%
Fmr. Mayor Randy Brown -- 22%
Fmr. Atlantic County Freeholder Seth Grossman -- 10%
Fmr. Cresskill Borough Councilman John McCann -- 10%
Undecided/Others -- 19%
HUGIN +17%


Virginia Democratic Gubernatorial Primary:
Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 19%
Congresswoman Jennifer Wexton -- 15%
State Attorney General Mark Herring -- 13%
Richmond Mayor Levar Stoney -- 12%
State Delegate Lee Carter -- 11%
State Delegate Elieen Filler-Corn -- 8%
Lt. Governor Justin Fairfax -- 8%
Undecided/Others -- 14%
MCAULIFFE +4%

Virginia Republican Gubernatorial Primary:
Congressman Rob Wittman -- 27%
State Senator Jill Vogel -- 20%
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 16%
Fmr. Congresswoman Barbra Comstock -- 11%
State Delegate Nick Freitas -- 8%
Mr. John Adams -- 5%
Undecided/Others -- 13%
WITTMAN +16%


New Jersey General Election Polling
Congressman Josh Gottheimer -- 45%
Mr. Bob Hugin -- 45%
EVEN

Congressman Josh Gottheimer -- 47%
Fmr. Mayor Randy Brown -- 40%
GOTTHEIMER +7%

Mr. Bob Hugin -- 46%
Governor Phil Murphy -- 42%
HUGIN +4%

Governor Phil Murphy -- 46%
Fmr. Mayor Randy Brown -- 43%
MURPHY +3%

Generic Democrat -- 48%
Generic Republican -- 44%
DEMOCRAT +4%


Virginia General Election Polling:
Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 46%
Congressman Rob WITTMAN -- 46%
EVEN

Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 49%
Congresswoman Barbra Comstock -- 42%
MCAULIFFE +7%

Congressman Rob Wittman -- 46%
State Attorney General Mark Herring -- 45%
WITTMAN +1%

State Attorney General Mark Herring -- 47%
Fmr. Congresswoman Barbra Comstock -- 44%
HERRING +3%

Generic Democrat -- 48%
Generic Republican -- 45%
DEMOCRAT +3%


Do you approve of Thomas Hardiman's nomination to the Supreme Court?
Yes -- 49%
No -- 44%
Unsure -- 7%


The timeline is moving slowly right now because of poor planning on my part. After the next few updates the pace will start to pick up.

[Edgeofnight]

March 9th, 2021

Eva Longoria to run for Texas Governor as Abbott Contemplates Retirement

   Actress and Activist Eva Longoria has announced her campaign for Texas Governor in 2022. Many Democrats hope her star power and outsider status will help them in a state that is rapidly becoming competitive.

March 10th, 2021

Trump to Testify on Campaign finance violations

   President Trump is facing a congressional subpoena over alleged campaign finance violations in the 2016 and 2020 election. The President is underfire for the alleged use of campaign funds for personal matters

March 12th, 2021

John Wisniewski is running for Governor

   The Sanders ally and Murphy opponent has confirmed his intentions to join the Primary to oust Murphy. He attacked Murphy and Gottheimer as “no better than Bob Hugin or Chris Christie.” Within the first 24 hours, he has raised 300,000$ in campaign contributions.

March 13th, 2021

Phil Bredesen joins Manchin

   
   The former Governor and current U.S. Senator from Tennessee has announced his intention to leave the Democratic Party and join the Serve America movement. He attacked Democrats and Republicans as “extremists,” and stated that the best way to serve the people of Tennessee was to “try and break the two party system”. When talking about plans to seek re-election, Bredesen said that he was still undecided, and would think about that until after the 2022 midterms.

March 15th, 2021

Jennifer Wexton announces campaign for governor

   In a last minute decision, Congresswoman Jennifer Wexton has announced her campaign for governor. She totes her record as “a reformer with results.” Her opponents in the Democratic primary have called her house record scarce, and attacked her as a “do-nothing-representative.”

March 15th, 2021

Thomas Hardiman’s hearing: Nominee promises to respect “Roe” and “Obergefell.”

   In a surprising turn of events, Trump’s supreme court nominee has promised to respect established precedent on Roe v. Wade and Overfell v. Hodges. “I don’t see an argument to overturn them at this time. I would respect the established tradition in those cases,” said Hardiman in an answer to a question from Senator Cory Booker. Overall, many have characterized Hardiman’s hearing as “calm and presentable,” with one Democratic aide stating “people are going to like him.”

March 16th, 2021

Jill Vogel is running for Governor

The state Senator was the Party’s 2017 nominee for Lt. Governor and is running as a moderate to conservative republican. She has received the support of many of her colleagues in the state legislature.

March 19th, 2021

Denver Riggleman running for Governor, facing cluttered Republican Primary.

   Sources say the conservative Congressman, in his second term in office, entered the race at the urging of the President and his allies. Riggleman faces a cluttered primary. Most state Republicans have already rallied around State Senator Vogel or fellow Congressman Rob Wittman.


2022 Generic Ballot Polling:
Democrats -- 50% (+1%)
Republicans -- 38%
Serve America Movement -- 6% (+2%)
Undecided/Others -- 5%
DEMOCRATS +12%

Approval of Donald Trump:
Disapprove -- 55% (+1%)
Approve -- 36% (+1%)
Unsure -- 9%


New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Democratic Primary:
Governor Phil Murphy -- 31% (-5%)
Congressmen Josh Gottheimer -- 27% (-9%)
Fmr. State Assemblymember John Wisniewski -- 22% (--)
Mr. Titus Pierce -- 10% (+2%)
Undecided/Others -- 10%
MURPHY +4%

New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Republican Primary:
Mr. Bob Hugin -- 45% (+3%)
Fmr. Mayor Randy Brown -- 19% (-3%)
Fmr. Cresskill Borough Councilman John McCann -- 15% (+5%)
Undecided/Others -- 21%
HUGIN +26%


Virginia Democratic Gubernatorial Primary:
Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 21% (+2%)
Congresswoman Jennifer Wexton -- 19% (+4%)
State Delegate Lee Carter -- 13% (+2%)
State Attorney General Mark Herring -- 12% (-1%)
Richmond Mayor Levar Stoney -- 12% (--)
Lt. Governor Justin Fairfax -- 7% (-1%)
Undecided/Others -- 16%
MCAULIFFE +2%

Virginia Republican Gubernatorial Primary:
Congressman Rob Wittman -- 25% (-2%)
State Senator Jill Vogel -- 23% (+3%)
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 20% (+4%)
Fmr. Congresswoman Barbra Comstock -- 9% (-1%)
State Delegate Nick Freitas -- 7% (-1%)
Mr. John Adams -- 6% (+1%)
Undecided/Others -- 10%
WITTMAN +2%


Mr. Bob Hugin -- 48%
Governor Phil Murphy -- 41%
HUGIN +7%

Governor Phil Murphy -- 47%
Fmr. Mayor Randy Brown -- 42%
MURPHY +5%

New Jersey General Election Polling
Mr. Bob Hugin -- 46%
Congressman Josh Gottheimer -- 44%
HUGIN +1%

Congressman Josh Gottheimer -- 48%
Fmr. Mayor Randy Brown -- 39%
GOTTHEIMER +9%

Generic Democrat -- 47%
Generic Republican -- 44%
DEMOCRAT +3%

Texas Governor Republican Primary (Abbott in):
Governor Greg Abbott -- 79%
Other -- 21%

Texas Governor Republican Primary (Abbott Out):
Land Commissioner George P. Bush -- 21%
Attorney General Ken Paxton -- 18%
Lt. Governor Dan Patrick -- 14%
Congressman Dan Crenshaw -- 13%
Fmr. State House Speaker Joe Strauss -- 10%
Undecided/Other -- 24%

Texas Governor Democratic Primary:
Fmr. HUD Secretary Julian Castro -- 18%
State Rep. Rafael Anchia -- 15%
State House Speaker Pro Tempore Joe Moody -- 13%
Mrs. Eva Longaria -- 11%
Fmr. Dallas County Sheriff Lupe Valdez -- 11%
State Rep. Gene Wu -- 9%
Mr. Andrew White -- 7%
Undecided/Others -- 17%

Virginia General Election Polling:
Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 48%
Congressman Rob Wittman -- 46%
MCAULIFFE +2%

Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 48%
State Senator Jill Vogel -- 45%
MCAULIFFE +3%

Congressman Jennifer Wexton -- 48%
Congressman Rob Wittman -- 45%
WEXTON +3%

Congresswoman Jennifer Wexton -- 48%
State Senator Jill Vogel -- 44%
WEXTON +4%

Generic Democrat -- 49%
Generic Republican -- 44%
DEMOCRAT +5%


Do you approve of Thomas Hardiman's nomination to the Supreme Court?
Yes -- 52%
No -- 40%
Unsure -- 8%

[Edgeofnight]

March 31st, 2021

Senate Judiciary Committee Passes Hardiman’s nomination, rocky road ahead in full senate

   In a major victory for the President, Judge Thomas Hardiman has been passed through the Senate Judiciary Committee and is headed to the full senate for a vote that is yet to be scheduled. Senator Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) encouraged fellow Democrats to vote for Hardiman’s nomination in the Committee, citing “a need to end gridlock and polarization on this nation’s highest court.” Despite this plea, only herself, Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) and Chris Coons (D-DE) voted for Hardiman’s nomination, joining every Republican and Greg Orman (SAM-KS) in supporting Hardiman.
 
April 3rd, 2021

Trump floats military action in Sudan

   In recent leak from the White House, President Trump is apparently considering military action in Sudan in response to increasing levels of violence and an increasingly evident violation of Human rights. The move would put The White House  in conflict with Chinese interests in the region, which has been a strong proponent of the Sudanese Government.

April 6th, 2021

Governor Tom Wolf rules out bid to Challenge Pat Toomey

   Popular and term-limited Pennsylvania Governor Tom Wolf has definitely ruled out running for Senate against embattled and endangered incumbent Pat Toomey, who has recently confirmed that he will seek a third term to the U.S. Senate. Tom Wolf told reporters that he was still interested in serving, and would “find other ways to serve the People of Pennsylvania and this Country.”

April 9th, 2021

Bernie Sanders, Tulsi Gabbard endorse Carter and Wisniewski in Gubernatorial races.

   In a boon for both campaigns, Bernie Sanders and Tulsi Gabbard have endorsed progressive insurgents in both the Virginia and New Jersey Gubernatorial races. The Carter Campaign praised Sanders and Gabbard for “their leadership and voices on issues affecting every day Virginians,” and adding that Sanders “showed principled leadership and dedication to this country in both of his presidential campaigns.” John Wisniewski mostly ignored Gabbard’s endorsement, and praised Senator Sanders in his statement.

April 13th, 2021

McAuliffe crushes fundraising, Carter touts grassroots support, Stoney and Wexton campaigns stagnant,  Herring and Fairfax fall.

   On the campaign trail in Virginia, former Governor Terry McAuliffe is leveraging his state and national connections to his advantage, and has massively outraised his opponents in the race by a more than 2-1 margin. Lee Carter on the other hand has touted his support from the grassroots elements of the party. “We have more small donors, more volunteers, and more energy than any other campaign in this race.” Meanwhile, the Campaigns of Jennifer Wexton and Levar Stoney are struggling to catch fire, and their polling numbers have remained stagnant since their entry into the race, with neither campaign really finding their niche or base in the race. Meanwhile, the campaigns of Mark Herring and Justin Fairfax are struggling in the face of past scandals. Once thought to be the future of the Virginia Democratic party, the two men have faltered recently. Fairfax in particular has been weighed down by the accusations of sexual assault against him, and it has become a frequent attack against the Lt. Governor.

April 17th, 2021

Andrew Yang is back and running for Mayor

   Businessman, former Presidential candidate, and internet icon Andrew Yang has entered the race for Mayor of New York, pledging to run as an independent to break up the two party system. He has not yet made clear if he intends to run on a platform similar to his presidential bid, which centered heavily on a Universal Basic Income.

April 19th, 2021

Liberal Activists want Schumer to shut down Hardiman’s nomination

   In an unsurprising turn of events, liberal activists want Majority Leader Charles Schumer to refuse to confirm Trump’s Supreme Court nominee, Thomas Hardiman. Senator Schumer has not responded to the movement, but fellow New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand has voiced support for the movement, stating “Hardiman should not sit on the court. Period.”

April 23rd, 2021

Hugin dominates, Brown falls.

   Businessman Bob Hugin’s lead continues to grow as the campaign continues. Hugin’s personal wealth and connections to national Republicans have allowed him to massively outraise and outspend the competition, with his campaign dominating airwaves and the news media. Former Mayor Randy Brown on the other hand has struggled to differentiate himself from Mr. Hugin, with one newspaper calling him a “less rich, less interesting clone” of Bob Hugin.

2022 Generic Ballot Polling:
Democrats -- 48% (-2%)
Republicans -- 39% (+1%)
Serve America Movement -- 7% (+1%)
Undecided/Others -- 5%
DEMOCRATS +9%

Approval of Donald Trump:
Disapprove -- 54% (-1%)
Approve -- 38% (+2%)
Unsure -- 8% (-1%)

Do you approve of Thomas Hardiman's nomination to the Supreme Court?
Yes -- 53% (+1%)
No -- 39% (-1%)
Unsure -- 8%
[/quote]


New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Democratic Primary:
Governor Phil Murphy -- 32% (+1%)
Congressmen Josh Gottheimer -- 25% (-2%)
Fmr. State Assemblymember John Wisniewski -- 24% (+2%)
Mr. Titus Pierce -- 10% (--)
Undecided/Others -- 9%
MURPHY +7%

New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Republican Primary:
Mr. Bob Hugin -- 49% (+4%)
Fmr. Mayor Randy Brown -- 17% (-2%)
Fmr. Cresskill Borough Councilman John McCann -- 17% (+2%)
Undecided/Others -- 17%
HUGIN +32%


Virginia Democratic Gubernatorial Primary:
Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 24% (+3%)
Congresswoman Jennifer Wexton -- 17% (-2%)
State Delegate Lee Carter -- 16% (+3%)
Richmond Mayor Levar Stoney -- 12% (--)
State Attorney General Mark Herring -- 10% (-2%)
Lt. Governor Justin Fairfax -- 6% (-1%)
Undecided/Others -- 15% (-1%)
MCAULIFFE +7%

Virginia Republican Gubernatorial Primary:
Congressman Rob Wittman -- 24% (-1%)
State Senator Jill Vogel -- 24% (+1%)
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 22% (+2%)
Fmr. Congresswoman Barbra Comstock -- 8% (-1%)
State Delegate Nick Freitas -- 6% (-1%)
Mr. John Adams -- 5% (-1%)
Undecided/Others -- 11% (+1%)
EVEN

Texas Governor Republican Primary (Abbott in):
Governor Greg Abbott -- 82%
Other -- 18%

Texas Governor Republican Primary (Abbott Out):
Land Commissioner George P. Bush -- 22%
Attorney General Ken Paxton -- 19%
Lt. Governor Dan Patrick -- 13%
Congressman Dan Crenshaw -- 12%
Fmr. State House Speaker Joe Strauss -- 10%
Undecided/Other -- 24%

Texas Governor Democratic Primary:
Fmr. HUD Secretary Julian Castro -- 20%
State Rep. Rafael Anchia -- 14%
State House Speaker Pro Tempore Joe Moody -- 12%
Mrs. Eva Longaria -- 12% (+1%)
Fmr. Dallas County Sheriff Lupe Valdez -- 10%
State Rep. Gene Wu -- 10%
Mr. Andrew White -- 8%
Undecided/Others -- 15%

Mr. Bob Hugin -- 48%
Governor Phil Murphy -- 43%
HUGIN +5%

Governor Phil Murphy -- 48%
Fmr. Mayor Randy Brown -- 41%
MURPHY +7%

New Jersey General Election Polling
Mr. Bob Hugin -- 46%
Congressman Josh Gottheimer -- 42%
HUGIN +4%

Congressman Josh Gottheimer -- 47%
Fmr. Mayor Randy Brown -- 39%
GOTTHEIMER +8%

Generic Democrat -- 48%
Generic Republican -- 42%
DEMOCRAT +6%


Virginia General Election Polling:
Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 50%
Congressman Rob Wittman -- 45%
MCAULIFFE +5%

Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 47%
State Senator Jill Vogel -- 44%
MCAULIFFE +3%

Congressman Jennifer Wexton -- 47%
Congressman Rob Wittman -- 45%
WEXTON +2%

Congresswoman Jennifer Wexton -- 46%
State Senator Jill Vogel -- 45%
WEXTON +1%

Generic Democrat -- 48%
Generic Republican -- 45%
DEMOCRAT +3%

[Edgeofnight]

I think all those dates are supposed to be 2021, not 2019, but still this is fantastic

And that is why you don't post updates while drunk, thank you all for the positive words!

[Edgeofnight]

Edge of Night: I'm betting Abbott seeks reelection to a 3rd term.

The next few updates will set the stage for Texas, I’ll leave it at that for now to avoid spoilers but it will play a big role in the 2022 midterms, especially after Beto O’Rourke won the 2020 Senate race.

[Edgeofnight]

I am honestly amazed (and glad) that impeachment has only been mentioned once in this. In every other timeline with trump, impeachment is like every sixth word in the timelines

That’s why I barely read most timelines here tbh. But this is more than believable. Keep up the great work!

Impeachment is certainly going to come up again, but there is a lot of reasons why Democrats are avoiding impeachment.

[Edgeofnight]

This sort of reminds me of nj_dem's TL and how believable it is and I wonder if this will go after 2024.

The rest of 2021 is written, for the most part. I revise things quite often, which is why parts don't come out quickly. From there, I have an outline of 2022, including the 2022 elections. I know roughly what will happen in 2023 and 2024. From there, I have a very rough mental image of the timeline continuing on from there. Whether or not it does depends on how much time I am willing to commit and how busy I am, but i have an idea of where this timeline will be in 2040, so its more than possible for me to continue it that far at least.

As for everyone else's comments, I appreciate the kind reads and the fact you read this. I write this timeline to destress from IRL stuff, so I'm glad people are enjoying it. I agree that impeachment is overblown in a lot of timelines, however, I'd be lying if I said that impeachment won't be a plot point later in the timeline. In fact, its going to become relevant towards the end of 2021. However, at first at least, more of the focus will be on the internal debate among the Democratic party about how to approach impeaching Trump, if they even should at all.

[Edgeofnight]

April 25th, 2021

Ken Paxton running for Texas Governor

   Republicans aren’t waiting for Abbott to make a decision. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton will seek the state’s highest office, as the incumbent Governor quite openly flirts with whether or not to seek a third term. Paxton is likely to be a serious contender regardless of Abbott's final decision on whether or not to run again for a third term.

April 27th, 2021

Riggleman is gaining steam while Wittman and Vogel stumble

   Congressman Denver Riggleman is gaining on his challengers, now polling second in the race for the Republican nomination for Governor. He has quickly risen in the race as the two front runners have taken shots at each other.

April 30th, 2021

Senator Chuck Grassley to retire, setting up for the first serious battle for the Iowa Senate Seat in decades.

     Senator Chuck Grassley has announced that he will not seek re-election in the 2022 midterms. Grassley consistently won by large margins, but his retirement throws the seat into jeopardy for Republicans. The race is likely to be one of if not the closest watched Senate races in the 2022 midterms. Joni Ernst was able to hold on to her senate seat in 2020 despite democrats gaining seats nationwide

May 1st. 2021

Lee Carter’s enigmatic Rise

   Democratic Socialist Lee Carter has been gaining steam in the Virginia Gubernatorial race. The little-known state legislator has risen to second place in the Democratic Primary polling. This rise in the polls has come with a rise in fundraising as well. Carter has raised the second most of any candidate competing for the Democratic Nomination, and the third most of all candidates competing for Governor. Carter started the race as a little known state legislator and was characterized as "too-far-left" for Virginia politics. Richmond Mayor Levar Stoney has attacked Carter’s fundraising, stating that “People form New York and California shouldn’t dictate who wins a race in Virginia.”

May 3rd, 2021

Lisa Murkowski breaks with Republican party, joins Manchin and Bredesen in SAM.

   Alaska Senator and moderate Republican Lisa Murkowski has announced her intentions to break with the Republican Party. Murkowski cited “increasing frustration” with the party’s “vapid embrace of a destructive ideology.” This moves means that for the first time since 1968, no Republican Represents Alaska in the U.S. Senate.

May 9th, 2021

Crowded race to replace de Blasio growing in New York City

   In the race to replace term limited Mayor Bill De Blasio, the number of candidates has grown again. Former State Senator Daniel Squadron has become the eighth Democrat to enter the race. He is running against former Congressman Joe Crowley, Former City Councilor Melissa Mark-Viverito, City Comptroller Scott Stringer, City Council Speaker Corey Johnson, Borough President Ruben Diaz Jr., State Assemblyman Michael Blake, and Professor David Eisenbach. Three Republicans remain in the race: Businessman Paul Massey, City Councilor Eric Ulrich, and former detective Bo Dietl.  

May 11th, 2021

Trump wades into Virginia and New Jersey Primaries. Endorses insurgents in both races.

   President Trump, seemingly over the protests of National Republicans and even some of his own advisers, has made endorsements in both the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections. In Virginia, President Trump has endorsed, and members of his family have donated to Congressman Denver Riggleman’s campaign for governor, with the President calling him “a really good guy. Phenomnal Guy.” Trump issued a similar statement in support of John McCann in the New Jersey Gubernatorial primary, who is running a long shot campaign against frontrunner Bob Hugin.

May 12th, 2021

Murphy rebounding while Gottheimer and Wisniewski attack each other.

   6 months ago, Governor Phil Murphy was at serious risk of losing his own party’s nomination. Now, however, his approval rating among Democrats, and as a result overall approval rating, has increased steadily. In November 2020, his approval among Democrats was down to 54%. Now, its risen to 68%. Meanwhile, his competitors for the Democratic nomination have spent more time targeting each other than the governor. Gottheimer has accused both of his opponents of being "spoilers" while Wisniewski has attacked Gottheimer, calling him "Bob Hugin in denial."

May 13th, 2021

Hardiman confirmed by a 51-50 vote to the Supreme Court.

   Judge Thomas Hardiman has been confirmed to the highest court in the land to replace the late Justice Ginsburg. Hardiman’s nomination comes after several other failed nominations, and after much speculation about whether or not Republicans could secure the votes to pass his nomination. However, with the Vice President’s Tie Breaking Power, Republicans got their guy. His confirmation shifts the ideological balance of the court, 6-3 in favor of the Conservative block. Hardiman’s judicial positions make him the new ideological center of the court as well.  

2022 Generic Ballot Polling:
Democrats -- 44% (-4%)
Republicans -- 41% (+3%)
Serve America Movement -- 10% (+3%)
Undecided/Others -- 6%
DEMOCRATS +3%

Approval of Donald Trump:
Disapprove -- 51% (-3%)
Approve -- 42% (+4%)
Unsure -- 7% (-1%)

Do you approve of Thomas Hardiman's nomination to the Supreme Court?
Yes -- 54% (+2%)
No -- 38% (-1%)
Unsure -- 7%


New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Democratic Primary:
Governor Phil Murphy -- 34% (+2%)
Fmr. State Assemblymember John Wisniewski -- 26% (+1%)
Congressmen Josh Gottheimer -- 23% (-2%)
Mr. Titus Pierce -- 8% (-2%)
Undecided/Others -- 9% (--)
MURPHY +8%

New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Republican Primary:
Mr. Bob Hugin -- 45% (-4%)
Fmr. Cresskill Borough Councilman John McCann -- 27% (+10%)
Fmr. Mayor Randy Brown -- 13% (-4%)
Undecided/Others -- 15% (-2%)
HUGIN +18%


Virginia Democratic Gubernatorial Primary:
Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 25% (+1%)
State Delegate Lee Carter -- 21% (+5%)
Congresswoman Jennifer Wexton -- 15% (-2%)
Richmond Mayor Levar Stoney -- 12% (+1%)
State Attorney General Mark Herring -- 9% (-1%)
Lt. Governor Justin Fairfax -- 5% (-1%)
Undecided/Others -- 12% (-3%)
MCAULIFFE +4%

Virginia Republican Gubernatorial Primary:
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 28% (+6%)
Congressman Rob Wittman -- 22% (-2%)
State Senator Jill Vogel -- 20% (-4%)
Fmr. Congresswoman Barbra Comstock -- 8% (-1%)
State Delegate Nick Freitas -- 6% (-1%)
Mr. John Adams -- 5% (-1%)
Undecided/Others -- 11% (+1%)
RIGGLEMAN +6%

New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary:
Fmr. Congressman Joe Crowley -- 19%
City Comptroller Scott Stringer -- 15%
City Council Speaker Corey Johnson -- 15%
Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 13%
Bronx Borough President Ruben Diaz Jr. -- 9%
Fmr. State Senator Daniel Squadron -- 9%
State Assemblymember Michael Blake -- 7%
Dr. David Eisenbach -- 3%
Undecided/Others -- 10%
CROWLEY +4%

New York Mayor Republican Primary
Mr. Paul Massey -- 43%
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 37%
Mr. Bo Deitl -- 4%
Undecided/Others -- 16%
MASSEY +6%

Texas Governor Republican Primary (Abbott in):
Governor Greg Abbott -- 68%
[Attorney General Ken Paxton -- 17%
Undecided/Other -- 15%
PAXTON +17%

Texas Governor Republican Primary (Abbott Out):
Land Commissioner George P. Bush -- 21%
[Attorney General Ken Paxton -- 21%
Lt. Governor Dan Patrick -- 13%
Congressman Dan Crenshaw -- 13%
Fmr. State House Speaker Joe Strauss -- 11%
Undecided/Other -- 21% (-3%)
PAXTON +21%

Texas Governor Democratic Primary:
Fmr. HUD Secretary Julian Castro -- 19%
State Rep. Rafael Anchia -- 15%
State House Speaker Pro Tempore Joe Moody -- 13%
Mrs. Eva Longaria -- 13% (+1%)
State Rep. Gene Wu -- 11%
Fmr. Dallas County Sheriff Lupe Valdez -- 9%
Mr. Andrew White -- 7%
Undecided/Others -- 14%
LONGARIA +13%


New Jersey General Election Polling

Mr. Bob Hugin -- 46%
Governor Phil Murphy -- 44%
HUGIN +2%

Governor Phil Murphy -- 49%
Fmr. Cresskill Borough Councilman John McCann -- 40%
MURPHY +9%


Mr. Bob Hugin -- 45%
Fmr. State Assemblymember John Wisniewski -- 44%
HUGIN +1%

Fmr. State Assemblymember John Wisniewski -- 48%
Fmr. Cresskill Borough Councilman John McCann -- 41%
WISNIEWSKI +7%

Generic Democrat -- 50%
Generic Republican -- 43%
DEMOCRAT +7%


Virginia General Election Polling:
Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 49%
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 45%
MCAULIFFE +4%

Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 49%
Congressman Rob Wittman -- 45%
MCAULIFFE +5%

State Delegate Lee Carter -- 46%
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 46%
EVEN

State Delegate Lee Carter -- 46%
Congressman Rob Wittman -- 44%
CARTER +2%


Generic Democrat -- 49%
Generic Republican -- 45%
DEMOCRAT +4%

[Edgeofnight]

I thought Andrew Yang was running for mayor?

Yes, he’s running as an independent though.

Also, Castro is leading by 4%

It goes only by the declared candidates. Longoria is the only candidate running currently.

Also, Castro is leading by 4%

I still think Abbott wins reelection in this TL.

Just remember Abbott is still yet to declare.

[Edgeofnight]

What are his approval ratings in this TL ? I'm assuming 60+%.

Probably lower. Around mid to high 50s,

[Edgeofnight]

The Confirmation of Justice Thomas Hardiman

The confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Thomas Hardiman was the first major victory of the Trump Administration's second term. Hardiman's nomination came after two other failed nominees. The After several weeks of discussion and debate, much of it behind closed doors, The senate voted on Hardiman's nomination on May 13th, 2021. Up until the vote actually occurred, no one was truly sure if he would be confirmed. Several senators remained silently undecided, and several where public in their hesitations. Still, in the end, and in a surprising vote, Hardiman was confirmed, 51-50, the first time the Vice President's tie breaking powers where invoked in a Supreme Court vote.

Vote on Thomas M. Hardiman's nomination to the Surpeme Court
Aye's (51)
Alhquist (R-ID)
Barrasso (R-WY)
Blackburn (R-TN)
Blunt (R-MO)
Boozman (R-AR)
Bredesen (SAM-TN)
Burr (R-NC)
Byrne (R-AL)
Cardin (D-MD)
Carper (D-DE)
Cassidy (R-LA)
Cotton (R-AR)
Crapo (R-ID)
Cruz (R-TX)
Donnelly (D-IN)
Ernst (R-IA)
Feinstein (D-CA)
Fischer (R-NE)
Grassley (R-IA)
Hietkamp (D-ND)
Hoeven (R-ND)
Hyde-Smith (R-MS)
Isakson (R-GA)
Johnson (R-WI)
J. N. Kennedy (R-LA)
Krist (SAM-NE)
Lamb (R-OK)
Lankford (R-KS)
Lee (R-UT)
Manchin (SAM-WV)
McCaskill (D-MO)
McConnell (R-KY)
Mead (R-WY)
Moore Capito (R-WV)
Moran (R-KS)
Murkowski (SAM-AK)
Nelson (D-FL)
Orman (SAM-KS)
Paul (R-KY)
Portman (R-OH)
Romney (R-UT)
Rounds (R-SD)
Rubio (R-FL)
Scott  (R-SC)
Shelby (R-AL)
Thune (R-SD)
Toomey (R-PA)
J. Warren (R-SC)
Wicker (R-MS)
Young (R-IN)
Vice President Pence (R-IN)

Nay's (50)
Baldwin (D-WI)
Bennet (D-CO)
Biss (D-IL)
Blumenthal (D-CT)
Booker (D-NJ)
Brown (D-OH)
Bullock (D-MT)
Cantwell (D-WA)
Casey (D-PA)
Coons (D-DE)
Cortez Masto (D-NV)
Duckworth (D-IL)
Duran (D-CO)
Gillibrand (D-NY)
Harris (D-CA)
Hassan (D-NH)
Heinrich (D-NM)
Hirono (D-HI)
Jackson (D-NC)
Kaine (D-VA)
J. P. Kennedy (D-MA)
King (I-MD)
Klobuchar (D-MN)
Kriess Tomkins (D-AK)
Leahy (D-VT)
Lopez (D-AZ)
Lujan (D-NM)
Menendez (D-NJ)
Merkley (D-OR)
Murphy (D-CT)
Murray (D-WA)
O'Rourke (D-TV)
Perriello (D-VA)
Peters (D-MI)
Pingree (D-ME)
Reed (D-RI)
Riggs Amico (D-GA)
Rosen (D-NV)
Sanders (I-VT)
Schatz (D-HI)
Schumer (D-NY)
Shaheen (D-NH)
Sinema (D-AZ)
Smith (D-MN)
Stabbenow (D-MI)
Tester (D-MT)
Van Hollen (D-MD)
E. Warren (D-MA)
Whitehouse (D-RI)
Wyden (D-OR)

In Red, states where both Senators voted against Hardiman's nomination. In blue, states where both senators voted in favor of Hardiman's nomination. In Green, states where one senator voted for Hardiman's nomination, and one against.

[Edgeofnight]

Alright let me be real here:

after the next update, which is 90% done, I am gonna be re-writing the stuff I have worked on.  I'm gonna play around with how I format updates and posts. I want to do more original content (infoboxes, maps, news updates, etc.). I'm gonna be playing around with the new formatting and how that will impact the level of detail the timeline will cover. Bear with me, and please be sure to let me know what you think.

The next update will go up in the old format, while the subsequent update will go up in the new format. 

[Edgeofnight]

May 14th, 2021

Protests rise in response to Supreme Court vote.

   Across the Country, protests have risen in response to Hardiman’s confirmation. The activist wing of the Democratic Party regularly expressed their opposition to the nomination, and they are furious with Senate Democrats for allowing his confirmation. Organizations such as Our Revolution and the Justice Democrats have raised large sums of money, and have announced plans to launch primary challenges to “several” Democratic senators in 2022 and beyond.

May 16th, 2021

Trump, Republicans, receive bump after Hardiman’s confirmation

   President Trump and Congressional Republicans have received a strong polling and fundraising bump following Hardiman’s confirmation. The news comes as Republicans look to claw their way out of deep minorities in both the House and Senate.

May 19th, 2021

Tulsi Gabbard Selected to head Our Revolution as rumors about 2024 circulate

   The Hawaii Congresswoman, and 2020 Democratic VP nominee, has been selected to lead the activist organization Our Revolution, which sprung from Senator Sanders’ 2016 campaign and helped him secure victory in the 2020 Primaries. The Hawaii Congresswoman will resign her house seat to lead the organization. This news comes as rumors of Gabbard’s presidential ambition swirl in Washington and across the Democratic Party.

May 21st, 2021

Greg Abbott confirms retirement rumors, will not seek re-election.

   The Texas Governor has confirmed the rumors that he will not seek a third term in office. Governor Abbott announced at a press conference that he would retire at the end of his current term.  “I have been honored to serve as Governor of this great state.

May 21st, 2021

Fetterman running against Toomey.

   Lt. Governor John Fetterman has announced that he will run against Pennsylvania Republican Senator Pat Toomey in the upcoming senate election. Fetterman is considered a top tier candidate against arguably the most vulnerable Republican Senator.

May 24th, 2021

Andrew White running for Texas Governor

   The Texas Businessman, Son of the former Governor, and 2018 primary runner up Andrew White has announced a second campaign for governor. “Democrats need an outsider candidate to take back the state.” White said in his announcement speech.

May 25th, 2021

Squadron impresses and Stringer falters.

   At a Democratic primary debate, Former State Senator Daniel Squadron impressed voters with his performance. Meanwhile, City Comptroller Scott Stringer was stuck with the problem of being perceived as “boring” compared to other candidates.

May 26th, 2021

Jill Vogel withdraws from Gubernatorial Election

     The Virginia State Senator polling numbers had been in collapse for the past few weeks, and she announced at a tearful press conference that she was grateful for the support that she had received, however she did not believe that a path to the nomination remained open. She did not offer any endorsement, but pledged to support Republicans up and down the ballot.

May 29th, 2021

Bob Krist for President? Nebraska Senator stresses need for “centrist presidential bid.”

   The Republican-turned-Independent-turned-Democrat-turned-Independent at a town hall event stressed the need for an independent campaign for president, rebuking the notions that his third party, the Serve America Movement helped hand Donald Trump the Presidency. “When both sides run to the extremes, there needs to be a centrist in the conversation,” said the senator, adding “it’s for the good of all Americans.”

May 30th, 2021

Virginia Primary set to test Democratic and Republican Mood over Parties’, Country’s direction

   In both the Democratic and Republican Primaries, the expected front runners have been upended. The question for the Democrats will be if they are ready to accept a devout Democratic Socialist, or will they prefer a more known quality. On the Republican side, Trump's unwavering support within the Republican party has come into question since the 2020 primaries. Does he still hold enough sway to get his top pick for the nomination?


2022 Generic Ballot Polling:
Democrats -- 44% (--)
Republicans -- 42% (+1%)
Serve America Movement -- 9% (-1%)
Undecided/Others -- 6%
DEMOCRATS +2%

Approval of Donald Trump:
Disapprove -- 50% (-1%)
Approve -- 42% (--%)
Unsure -- 8% (+1%)


New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Democratic Primary:
Governor Phil Murphy -- 36% (+2%)
Fmr. State Assemblymember John Wisniewski -- 27% (+1%)
Congressmen Josh Gottheimer -- 22% (-1%)
Mr. Titus Pierce -- 7% (-1%)
Undecided/Others -- 8% (-1%)
MURPHY +9%

New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Republican Primary:
Mr. Bob Hugin -- 42% (-3%)
Fmr. Cresskill Borough Councilman John McCann -- 31% (+4%)
Fmr. Mayor Randy Brown -- 13% (--%)
Undecided/Others -- 14% (-1%)
HUGIN +18%


Virginia Democratic Gubernatorial Primary:
Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 25% (--%)
State Delegate Lee Carter -- 23% (+2%)
Congresswoman Jennifer Wexton -- 15% (--%)
Richmond Mayor Levar Stoney -- 11% (-1%)
State Attorney General Mark Herring -- 8% (-1%)
Lt. Governor Justin Fairfax -- 5% (--)
Undecided/Others -- 12% (--)
MCAULIFFE +2%

Virginia Republican Gubernatorial Primary:
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 34% (+8%)
Congressman Rob Wittman -- 26% (+4%)
Fmr. Congresswoman Barbra Comstock -- 12% (+4%)
State Delegate Nick Freitas -- 6% (--)
Mr. John Adams -- 5% (--)
Undecided/Others -- 17% (+6%)
RIGGLEMAN +8%

New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary:
Fmr. Congressman Joe Crowley -- 17% (-2%)
City Council Speaker Corey Johnson -- 14% (-1%)
Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 13% (--)
City Comptroller Scott Stringer -- 12% (-3%)
Fmr. State Senator Daniel Squadron -- 11% (+2%)
Bronx Borough President Ruben Diaz Jr. -- 10% (+1%)
State Assemblymember Michael Blake -- 10% (+2%)
Dr. David Eisenbach -- 3% (--)
Undecided/Others -- 10% (--)
CROWLEY +3%

New York Mayor Republican Primary
Mr. Paul Massey -- 45% (+2%)
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 39% (+2%)
Mr. Bo Deitl -- 5% (+1%)
Undecided/Others -- 11% (-5%)
MASSEY +6%


Texas Governor Republican Primary:
Land Commissioner George P. Bush -- 23%
Attorney General Ken Paxton -- 20% (-1%)
Lt. Governor Dan Patrick -- 14%
Congressman Dan Crenshaw -- 10%
Fmr. State House Speaker Joe Strauss -- 9%
Undecided/Other -- 24% (+3%)
PAXTON +20%

Texas Governor Democratic Primary:
Fmr. HUD Secretary Julian Castro -- 20%
State Rep. Rafael Anchia -- 16%
State House Speaker Pro Tempore Joe Moody -- 14%
Mrs. Eva Longaria -- 14% (+1%)
State Rep. Gene Wu -- 10%
Mr. Andrew White -- 9% (+2%)
Undecided/Others -- 14%
LONGARIA +5%


New Jersey General Election Polling

Mr. Bob Hugin -- 45%
Governor Phil Murphy -- 44%
HUGIN +1%

Governor Phil Murphy -- 50%
Fmr. Cresskill Borough Councilman John McCann -- 41%
MURPHY +9%


Fmr. State Assemblymember John Wisniewski -- 45%
Mr. Bob Hugin -- 43%
WISNIEWSKI +1%

Fmr. State Assemblymember John Wisniewski -- 47%
Fmr. Cresskill Borough Councilman John McCann -- 39%
WISNIEWSKI +8%

Generic Democrat -- 51%
Generic Republican -- 42%
DEMOCRAT +9%


Virginia General Election Polling:
Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 48%
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 45%
MCAULIFFE +3%

Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 49%
Congressman Rob Wittman -- 44%
MCAULIFFE +5%

State Delegate Lee Carter -- 47%
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 47%
EVEN

State Delegate Lee Carter -- 47%
Congressman Rob Wittman -- 44%
CARTER +3%

Generic Democrat -- 47%
Generic Republican -- 43%
DEMOCRAT +4%

You probably noticed there are no pictures, this is to reduce the number of copywritten images in this timeline. Going forward, almost all of the images I use will be oc in part for this reason.

[Edgeofnight]

June 8th, 2021

Virginia Primary Results set stage for November Election, sort of.

In the race for to replace Ralph Northam, Democrats still don't have a candidate. With 97% of the vote in, both State Delegate Lee Carter and former Governor Terry McAuliffe sit with around 30% of the vote each, with Congresswoman Jennifer Wexton in a distant third. A recount will likely be held, regardless of who ends up on top, but right now Carter leads McAuliffe by roughly 500 votes.

Meanwhile, on the Republican side, Congressman Denver Riggleman easily coasted to victory. With the support of President Trump, and deep personal wealth, Riggleman easily captured the Republican nomination, and will face whoever the Democrats nominate in the fall.

June 8th, 2021

June 23rd, 2021

The moderate two term congressman first won election to the house in a tightly fought 2017 Special election. Since then, he has become something of a rising star within his own party, and has become a leader figure on several key issues, most recently gerrymandering, where he filled legislation to explicitly criminalize partisan gerrymandering.

2022 Generic Ballot Polling:
Democrats -- 45% (+1%)
Republicans -- 42% (--)
Serve America Movement -- 7% (-2%)
Undecided/Others -- 7%
DEMOCRATS +3%

Approval of Donald Trump:
Disapprove -- 50% (--%)
Approve -- 43% (+1%)
Unsure -- 7% (-1%)


New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary:
Fmr. Congressman Joe Crowley -- 16% (-1%)
City Council Speaker Corey Johnson -- 14% (--)
Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 14% (+1%)
City Comptroller Scott Stringer -- 12% (--)
Fmr. State Senator Daniel Squadron -- 12% (+1%)
Bronx Borough President Ruben Diaz Jr. -- 10% (--%)
State Assemblymember Michael Blake -- 10% (--%)
Dr. David Eisenbach -- 2% (-1%)
Undecided/Others -- 10% (--)
CROWLEY +2%

New York Mayor Republican Primary
Mr. Paul Massey -- 44% (-1%)
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 41% (+2%)
Mr. Bo Deitl -- 4% (-1%)
Undecided/Others -- 11% (--)
MASSEY +3%


Texas Governor Republican Primary:
Land Commissioner George P. Bush -- 25%
Attorney General Ken Paxton -- 22% (+2%)
Lt. Governor Dan Patrick -- 16%
Fmr. State House Speaker Joe Strauss -- 13%
Undecided/Other -- 24% (+3%)
PAXTON +22%

Texas Governor Democratic Primary:
Fmr. HUD Secretary Julian Castro -- 21%
State Rep. Rafael Anchia -- 18%
Mrs. Eva Longaria -- 17% (+3%)
Mr. Andrew White -- 13% (+4%)
State Rep. Gene Wu -- 12%
Undecided/Others -- 19% (+5%)
LONGARIA +5%


Governor Phil Murphy -- 46%
Mr. Bob Hugin -- 45%
MURPHY +1%

Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 47%
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 46%
MCAULIFFE +1%

State Delegate Lee Carter -- 46%
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 46%
EVEN

[Edgeofnight]

June 23rd, 2021

The young Democratic Socialist prevails against long odds to win an upset against the well funded and well liked former Governor. Carter has shocked the political scene in Virginia, and many in the state Democratic party are cautious about his candidacy, with one staffer stating anonymously "He's not tested. We don't know if he's ready or able to win this. He's a liability."

June 26th, 2021

Sen. Rand Paul: "I will not seek another term in office"

Kentucky Senator and prominent libertarian Republican Rand Paul announced today his decision to not seek a third term in office. He becomes one of may prominent Republicans not seeking re-election and the first Republican Senator to bow out of the renomination contest.

June 29th, 2021
Longoria earns several endorsements in Texas Gubernatorial Contest

The actress, activist, and outsider candidate has snagged several key endorsements in the race to become the Texas Democrats next lost cause. Notably, she has been endorsed by Dallas Mayor Eric Johnson, MJ Hegar, a veteran, twice failed congressional candidate, and candidate for Lt. Governor, and Gene Wu, a State Representative who once flirted with his own bid. And, although she lacks a formal endorsement, she has recived online support from various progressive groups, including the Justice Democrats among others, making her their "de-facto candidate"

June 30th, 2021
Jon Husted for Governor

The Republican party lost a closely fought race in 2018, but Jon Husted believes that he and his party have learned from that and can oust Richard Codray. In his announcement speech, Husted attacked the incumbent Governor, accusing him of "using the state as a stepping stone." He also attacked interparty rivals, former Congressman Jim Rennaci, fmr. State Treasurer Josh Mandel,  and Fmr. Lt Governor Mary Taylor. Husted currently claims the "frontrunner" title, although several other Republicans are considering entering the race.

2022 Generic Ballot Polling:
Democrats -- 47% (+2%)
Republicans -- 41% (-1%)
Serve America Movement -- 6% (-1%)
Undecided/Others -- 7%
DEMOCRATS +6%

Approval of Donald Trump:
Disapprove -- 51% (+1%)
Approve -- 40% (-3%)
Unsure -- 9% (+2%)


New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary:
City Council Speaker Corey Johnson -- 15% (+1%)
Fmr. Congressman Joe Crowley -- 14% (-2%)
Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 14%** (--%)
Fmr. State Senator Daniel Squadron -- 13%*** (+1%)
City Comptroller Scott Stringer -- 12% (-1%)
State Assemblymember Michael Blake -- 11% (+1%)
Bronx Borough President Ruben Diaz Jr. -- 9% (-1%)
Dr. David Eisenbach -- 2% (--%)
Undecided/Others -- 10% (--)
JOHNSON +2%

**Endorsed by the Women's Equality Party
***Endorsed by the Working Families Party

New York Mayor Republican Primary
Mr. Paul Massey -- 43%** (-1%)
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 42%*** (+1%)
Mr. Bo Deitl -- 4% (--%)
Undecided/Others -- 11% (--)
MASSEY +1%

**Endorsed by the Conservative Party
***Endorsed by the Independence Party, also seeking Reform Party Nomination against Sal Albanese and several others, and the SAM nomination unopposed.


Texas Governor Republican Primary:
Land Commissioner George P. Bush -- 27%
Attorney General Ken Paxton -- 24% (+2%)
Lt. Governor Dan Patrick -- 19%
Fmr. State House Speaker Joe Strauss -- 12%
Undecided/Other -- 24% (-6%)
PAXTON +24%

Texas Governor Democratic Primary:
Fmr. HUD Secretary Julian Castro -- 22%
State Rep. Rafael Anchia -- 21%
Mrs. Eva Longaria -- 20% (+3%)
Mr. Andrew White -- 15% (+2%)
Undecided/Others -- 21% (+3%)
LONGARIA +5%

Ohio Republican Gubernatorial Primary:
Fmr. Secretary of State Jon Husted -- 24%
Fmr. State Treasurer Josh Mandel -- 19%
Congressman Troy Balderson -- 15%
Fmr. Congressman Jim Rennacci -- 13%
Mr. J.D. Vance -- 11%
Fmr. Lt. Gov. Mary Taylor -- 7%
Mrs. Beth Hansen -- 6%
Undecided/Other -- 5%
HUSTED +5%


New Jersey General Election:
Governor Phil Murphy -- 47%
Mr. Bob Hugin -- 45%
MURPHY +2%

Virginia General Election:
State Delegate Lee Carter -- 46%
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 45%
CARTER +1%

New York City General Election:

City Council Speaker Corey Johnson -- 27%
Mr. Paul Massey -- 16%
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 13%*
Fmr. State Senator David Squadron -- 12%*
Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 12%*
JOHNSON +11%

City Council Speaker Corey Johnson -- 25%
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 17%
Mr. Paul Massey -- 12%*
Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 12%*
Fmr. State Senator David Squadron -- 11%*
JOHNSON +9%

Fmr. Congressman Joe Crowley -- 28%
Mr. Paul Massey -- 18%
Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 13%*
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 12%*
Fmr. State Senator David Squadron -- 11%*
CROWLEY +10%

Fmr. Congressman Joe Crowley -- 24%
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 16%
Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 15%*
Mr. Paul Massey -- 13%*
Fmr. State Senator David Squadron -- 12%*
CROWLEY +8%

Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 32%
Mr. Paul Massey -- 17%
Fmr. State Senator David Squadron -- 15%*
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 13%*
MARK-VIVERITO +15%

Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 30%
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 20%
Fmr. State Senator David Squadron -- 16%*
Mr. Paul Massey -- 12%*
MARK-VIVERITO + 10%


I uploaded the wrong version if the Lee Carter pic. If i can find the right one and remember tomorrow  I will fix it.

[Edgeofnight]

July 1st, 2021

Janet Cowell enters NC-Senate Race. Republicans are rallying behind Bishop

The former state Treasurer and prominent Democrat has entered the race to replace retiring Senator Richard Burr. She has been active in the State Democratic party, becoming a key figure in Senator Jeff Jackson's win in 2020. She is more moderate than the bulk of the national Democrats, especially those in the Senate, but still her policy chops, experience, and connections to the state party make her a formidable foe. Meanwhile, on the Republican side of things, State Senator Dan Bishop is solidifying his lead more and more every day, leading many in the party to embrace his inevitable victory as best they can. Bishop was the author of the controversial "bathroom bill" that many credit with former Governor Pat McCroy's defeat in the 2016 Gubernatorial Election.

July 16th, 2021   

It is over two years away from the Iowa Caucuses, but already, the Presidential race for 2024 is already on, and candidates are already drumming up support and talking to voters across the country.  Congressman Pete Buttigieg headlined a speaker event in Iowa. Kamala Harris has made frequent stops in New Hampshire and South Carolina. Tulsi Gabbard has campaigned for Democrats in Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota. On the Republican Side, Mike Pence has pledged to campaign in all 50 states before the upcoming midterms, as he seeks to solidify his status as the Republican front runner.  Senators Tom Cotton and Ted Cruz have made it a personal mission to recruit as many candidates as possible for local and congressional races. Senators Greg Orman, Joe Manchin, and Bob Krist are launching a “unity tour” across the country, holding several dozen town hall events across 40 different states. "Everyone who is going to be a serious candidate is building support now. Attending events, meeting voters, raising money. Its gonna be a sh**t show," said one prominent democratic strategist.

Republicans:
Vice President Mike Pence -- 30%
Sen. Tom Cotton -- 12%
Sen. Ted Cruz -- 11%
Gov. Charlie Baker -- 8%
Rep. Liz Cheney -- 6%
Gov. Greg Abbott -- 5%
Gov. Kristi Noem -- 4%
Others -- 30%

Democrats:
Sen. Kamala Harris -- 17%
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio Cortez -- 14%
Fmr. Rep Tulsi Gabbard -- 13%
Sen. Cory Booker -- 11%
Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand -- 9%
Rep. Pete Buttigieg -- 7%
Gov. Stacey Abrams -- 5%
Gov. Gretchen Whitmer -- 4%
Others -- 20%

July 19th, 2021

Phil Murphy and Bob Hugin clash in the first debate.

   Governor Phil Murphy didn’t score an overwhelming victory, but he did hold his own quite well against wealth Healthcare Executive Bob Hugin. The debate centered around transparency, the economy, and the ability to work with the legislature. Hugin made the claim that given Murphy’s pass combativeness with legislative leadership, that hed work better with the State democrats than Murphy would. Murphy hit back on Hugin’s policy goals, saying that they would lead to friction with the State Legislature and undermine productivity in the state government.

July 23rd, 2021

Across the Country, Republicans have been struggling to recruit candidates in key races, even in swing states, like Georgia and Florida, Republicans can't land top recruits. In both states, Republicans are walking towards rematches against Gillum and Abrams, who both remain popular.

2022 Generic Ballot Polling:
Democrats -- 47% (--%)
Republicans -- 40% (-1%)
Serve America Movement -- 5% (-1%)
Undecided/Others -- 9%
DEMOCRATS +7%

Approval of Donald Trump:
Disapprove -- 52% (+1%)
Approve -- 40% (--)
Unsure -- 8% (-1%)


New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary:
City Council Speaker Corey Johnson -- 16% (+1%)
Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 14%** (--%)Fmr. Congressman Joe Crowley -- 13% (-1%)
Fmr. State Senator Daniel Squadron -- 13%*** (--)
State Assemblymember Michael Blake -- 13% (+2%)
City Comptroller Scott Stringer -- 12% (--%)
Bronx Borough President Ruben Diaz Jr. -- 8% (-1%)
Dr. David Eisenbach -- 2% (--%)
Undecided/Others -- 8% (-2%)
JOHNSON +3%

**Endorsed by the Women's Equality Party
***Endorsed by the Working Families Party

New York Mayor Republican Primary
Mr. Paul Massey -- 44%** (+1%)
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 43%*** (+1%)
Mr. Bo Deitl -- 3% (-1%)
Undecided/Others -- 10% (-1%)
MASSEY +1%

**Endorsed by the Conservative Party
***Endorsed by the Independence Party, also seeking Reform Party Nomination against Sal Albanese and several others, and the SAM nomination unopposed.


Texas Governor Republican Primary:
Land Commissioner George P. Bush -- 25%
Attorney General Ken Paxton -- 23% (-1%)
Lt. Governor Dan Patrick -- 21%
Fmr. State House Speaker Joe Strauss -- 13%
Undecided/Other -- 24% (--)
PAXTON +2%

Texas Governor Democratic Primary:
State Rep. Rafael Anchia -- 24%
Fmr. HUD Secretary Julian Castro -- 20%
Mrs. Eva Longaria -- 18% (-2%)
Mr. Andrew White -- 15% (-2%)
Undecided/Others -- 23% (+2%)
ANCHIA +6%

Ohio Republican Gubernatorial Primary:
Fmr. Secretary of State Jon Husted -- 26%
Fmr. State Treasurer Josh Mandel -- 18%
Fmr. Congressman Jim Rennacci -- 14%
Congressman Troy Balderson -- 13%
Mr. J.D. Vance -- 12%
Fmr. Lt. Gov. Mary Taylor -- 9%
Mrs. Beth Hansen -- 4%
Undecided/Other -- 4%
HUSTED +5%

North Carolina Senate Polling, Republican Primary:
State Sen. Dan Bishop -- 32%
Lt. Gov Renee Ellmers -- 21%
Congressman Greg Murphy -- 17%
State Rep. Holly Grange -- 13%
Undecided/Others -- 17%
BISHOP + 19%

North Carolina Senate Polling, Democratic Primary:
Attorney General Josh Stein -- 24%
Fmr. State Treasurer Janet Cowell -- 19%
Fmr. State Senator Cal Cunningham -- 18%
Fmr. State Sen. Erica Smith -- 14%
Fmr. Greenville Mayor Allen M. Thomas -- 11%
State Rep. Rachel Hunt -- 6%
Undecided/Others -- 8%
COWELL +8%

New Jersey General Election:
Governor Phil Murphy -- 46%
Mr. Bob Hugin -- 45%
MURPHY +1%

Virginia General Election:
State Delegate Lee Carter -- 47%
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 45%
CARTER +2%

New York City General Election:

City Council Speaker Corey Johnson -- 29%
Mr. Paul Massey -- 15%
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 14%*
Fmr. State Senator David Squadron -- 11%*
Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 11%*
Mr. Andrew Yang -- 10%
JOHNSON +14%

City Council Speaker Corey Johnson -- 24%
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 19%
Mr. Paul Massey -- 13%*
Fmr. State Senator David Squadron -- 11%*
Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 10%*
Mr. Andrew Yang -- 8%
JOHNSON +5%

Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 30%
Mr. Paul Massey -- 16%
Fmr. State Senator David Squadron -- 16%*
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 13%*
Mr. Andrew Yang -- 12%
MARK-VIVERITO +14%

Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 28%
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 22%
Fmr. State Senator David Squadron -- 17%*
Mr. Paul Massey -- 10%*
Mr. Andrew Yang -- 11%
MARK-VIVERITO + 6%

[Edgeofnight]

Climbing Dan changed his name to Ron?

Whoops, this is why proofreading is important.

Also, if people could answer this strawpoll about the timeline, it'd be greatly appreciated

https://www.strawpoll.me/18281963