Which of these scenarios is more likely?

[Pheurton Skeurto]

I'm thinking Option 2.

Discuss.

[Pheurton Skeurto]

Here's another interesting scenario:

Gary Johnson getting close to 10% in NM.

Of course it won't happen, but it'd be hilarious.

[Pheurton Skeurto]

2. Obama winning Arizona isn't likely, but it's more likely than Romney taking New Mexico.

As for Johnson breaking double digits in New Mexico... that"d be entertaining but I doubt it. He might get like 5% though.

F**k it, Gary Johnson wins New Mexico and the Presidency.

And then I wake up.

[Pheurton Skeurto]

New Mexico votes on a feeling.  You can't predict it based on even what it did in 2010.

Any way the wind blows?