Rubio will win by 12+, if not 15+
It's still Florida, not Iowa.
Rubio has a lot more crossover appeal than Joni Ernst, and she won by well over six points in 2020.
He does, he'll probably win by a bit more than her. My point is that a state like Iowa has quite a bit more potential for double-digit victories. Florida is quite a bit more consistent, "stiff" if you will.
Let's not think Rubio is going to win by double digits and also that Warnock is "obviously favored" in Georgia or that Dems are favored to pick up Pennsylvania, or that Nevada is "titanium Tilt D" no matter what. That's not a realistic combination of events, but it's a narrative that I see a lot of.