London Mayoral and GLA Results Thread
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Author Topic: London Mayoral and GLA Results Thread  (Read 22697 times)
Harry Hayfield
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« Reply #75 on: May 02, 2008, 04:33:16 PM »
Using the tally from London Elects, we have 4 constituencies and two first preference mayoral results.

Constituency Tally
Conservatives 238,425 (32.83%) winning 1 seat (-1)
Labour 224,827 (30.96%) winning 3 seats (+1)
Liberal Democrat 83,240 (11.46%)
Green 56,713 (7.81%)
Respect 26,760 (3.68%)
Christian People's Alliance 21,217 (2.92%)
UK Independence Party 19,469 (2.68%)
British National Party 18,020 (2.48%)
National Front 13,638 (1.87%)
English Democrats 10,742 (1.47%)
Independent 7,385 (1.01%)
The Left List 5611 (0.77%)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #76 on: May 02, 2008, 04:34:24 PM »
Quote from: ag on May 02, 2008, 04:30:49 PM
So, of the first 4 seats announced, we have 3 L vs 1C. Not likely to last, but for now Labor is doing great Smiley And, of course, the first preferences for mayor in the two districts that have announced them give Livingston an 85 thousand vote lead. I guess, the Labs would sell their soul to have the time stopped right now Smiley
...and with Bexley & Bromley mayorals released, that dwindles to just a couple of thousand...

Yeah. Looks like a strongly polarized result. Which implies a narrow( or at least narrowish) Johnson victory.
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ag
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« Reply #77 on: May 02, 2008, 04:36:06 PM »
How will the Libdem second prefs go?
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #78 on: May 02, 2008, 04:38:27 PM »
Quote from: ag on May 02, 2008, 04:36:06 PM
How will the Libdem second prefs go?

I'd say at least two-thirds for Livingstone.
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ag
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« Reply #79 on: May 02, 2008, 04:39:10 PM »
Then it may be very narrow.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #80 on: May 02, 2008, 04:39:24 PM »
Quote from: ag on May 02, 2008, 04:36:06 PM
How will the Libdem second prefs go?
Good question. Used to break Labour, but not by much. If Livingstone will eke this one out (not believing it, mind), it'll be by further increasing his share of them as the 1)LD 2)Tory type voted Tory on the first pref.
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Verily
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« Reply #81 on: May 02, 2008, 04:39:33 PM »
Quote from: Labour Man With Some Unhappiness on May 02, 2008, 04:38:27 PM
Quote from: ag on May 02, 2008, 04:36:06 PM
How will the Libdem second prefs go?

I'd say at least two-thirds for Livingstone.

The Bexley first and second numbers say differently (assuming the Green vote went mostly to Livingstone).
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #82 on: May 02, 2008, 04:41:20 PM »
Quote from: Verily on May 02, 2008, 04:39:33 PM
Quote from: Labour Man With Some Unhappiness on May 02, 2008, 04:38:27 PM
Quote from: ag on May 02, 2008, 04:36:06 PM
How will the Libdem second prefs go?

I'd say at least two-thirds for Livingstone.

The Bexley first and second numbers say differently (assuming the Green vote went mostly to Livingstone).
Where're you getting them from?
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Verily
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« Reply #83 on: May 02, 2008, 04:43:37 PM »
Not all that reliable, but people posting them on politicalbetting.com.
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« Reply #84 on: May 02, 2008, 04:45:04 PM »
« Edited: May 02, 2008, 04:59:42 PM by Lie Bot »
North East:

Labour Party      73,551      37.17%      28,437
Conservative Party    45,114    22.80%    
Liberal Democrats    28,973    14.64%    
Green Party    25,845    13.06%    
Left List    6,019    3.04%    
UK Independence Party    5,349    2.70%    
Christian Peoples Alliance and Christian Party    5,323    2.69%    
English Democrats    3,637    1.84%

EDIT: CONSTITUENCY NOT MAYORAL!
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #85 on: May 02, 2008, 04:54:07 PM »
Boris has got 51.7% in Havering and Redbridge.
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Bono
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« Reply #86 on: May 02, 2008, 04:54:32 PM »
Brent and Harrow:
Ken Livingstone 65,862      41.55%
Boris Johnson 61,825    39.00%
Brian Paddick 14,502    9.15%
Siān Berry 4,075    2.57%
Richard Barnbrook  2,622    1.65%
Alan Craig 2,573    1.62%
Gerard Batten  1,341    0.85%
Lindsey German    1,085    0.68%
Matt O'Connor 589    0.37%
Winston McKenzie 469    0.30%
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #87 on: May 02, 2008, 05:05:59 PM »
You know, looking over the results so far, I almost feel sorry for Paddick. Almost.
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The Man From G.O.P.
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« Reply #88 on: May 02, 2008, 05:08:09 PM »
Quote from: Confused Tree on May 02, 2008, 05:05:59 PM
You know, looking over the results so far, I almost feel sorry for Paddick. Almost.

Will he break 10% overall?
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #89 on: May 02, 2008, 05:08:38 PM »
Quote from: Confused Tree on May 02, 2008, 05:05:59 PM
You know, looking over the results so far, I almost feel sorry for Paddick. Almost.

I'm alarmed at the BNP support.

I wonder if people have forgotten the Luftwaffe.
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The Man From G.O.P.
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« Reply #90 on: May 02, 2008, 05:13:29 PM »
This looks a little closer than the headlines indicated...
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Verily
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« Reply #91 on: May 02, 2008, 05:25:05 PM »
The Guardian has complete constituency results. http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2008/may/02/london08.london1
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cp
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« Reply #92 on: May 02, 2008, 05:34:10 PM »
how long till the mayoral count is released?
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Umengus
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« Reply #93 on: May 02, 2008, 05:34:34 PM »
Quote from: I Blame Associated Press- As Well As Some Others on May 02, 2008, 05:08:38 PM
Quote from: Confused Tree on May 02, 2008, 05:05:59 PM
You know, looking over the results so far, I almost feel sorry for Paddick. Almost.

I'm alarmed at the BNP support.

I wonder if people have forgotten the Luftwaffe.

disgusting comment.
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Harry Hayfield
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« Reply #94 on: May 02, 2008, 05:44:37 PM »
First Preferences Totals
Con 43% (+14%)
Lab 37% (n/c)
Lib Dem 10% (-5%)
Green 3% (n/c)
UKIP 1% (-5%)
Ind 0% (n/c)
BNP 3% (n/c)
Others 3% (-3%)
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Hash
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« Reply #95 on: May 02, 2008, 06:08:59 PM »
UKIP 0.91% in the mayoral race. Lolz.

Quote from: Umengus on May 02, 2008, 05:34:34 PM
Quote from: I Blame Associated Press- As Well As Some Others on May 02, 2008, 05:08:38 PM
Quote from: Confused Tree on May 02, 2008, 05:05:59 PM
You know, looking over the results so far, I almost feel sorry for Paddick. Almost.

I'm alarmed at the BNP support.

I wonder if people have forgotten the Luftwaffe.

disgusting comment.

Your love for the far-right is disgusting.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #96 on: May 02, 2008, 06:09:39 PM »
Johnson's won.
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Hash
Hashemite
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« Reply #97 on: May 02, 2008, 06:12:08 PM »
2nd prefs, London Elects

Boris 1,168,738
Ken  1,028,966
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Hash
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« Reply #98 on: May 02, 2008, 06:13:38 PM »
Quote from: Georges Marchais on May 02, 2008, 06:12:08 PM
2nd prefs, London Elects

Boris 1,168,738
Ken  1,028,966


If my math skills be good, the result in % is about 53-47 for Boris.
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afleitch
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« Reply #99 on: May 02, 2008, 06:15:34 PM »
A pleasant end to a gripping 24 hours.
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