London Mayoral and GLA Results Thread
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Author Topic: London Mayoral and GLA Results Thread  (Read 22572 times)
Serenity Now
tomm_86
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« Reply #150 on: May 14, 2008, 09:24:27 AM »

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Serenity Now
tomm_86
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« Reply #151 on: May 14, 2008, 10:16:45 AM »

The BNP told their voters to vote Johnson on second preference, didn't they. Seems that they largely disobeyed and voted for him on first preference.
Well, yeah. That much is obvious from the constituency results. I think you'll find a similar Green-Ken linkage.

That was very much the case from voters I talked to when I was canvassing for the Greens in Lewisham - In fact, we only asked people if they intended to vote for us in the Assembly..
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Serenity Now
tomm_86
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« Reply #152 on: May 14, 2008, 10:18:38 AM »

Ladies and Gentlemen, a short public service announcement.

Ward results (sans postal votes, as always) have been published.

That is all. A map will be up soon.

Link?

http://results.londonelects.org.uk/Results/DownloadResults.aspx

There were a couple of wards in Lewisham which voted for Johnson and Duvall. You can probably work out where they were...

I'm guessing Downham and Whitefoot? I actually haven't looked yet..
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #153 on: May 14, 2008, 10:34:34 AM »

Interesting map; Conservative turnout in some of the outer boroughs appears to have been every bit as high as was claimed. I wonder whether it hit General Election levels in places, though I don't think there's anyway you could measure that (sadly).

Barking & Dagenham depressing but expected; I can't think of anything less likely to motivate the Labour vote out there than the sort of campaign Livingstone ran this year. Tower Hamlets as fascinating as ever

Nice to see Rotherhithe ward red for once.

I'm guessing Downham and Whitefoot? I actually haven't looked yet..

We have a winner!
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #154 on: May 14, 2008, 12:11:56 PM »

without BNP voters, Johnson would have been elected mayor ?
As in, everybody who voted BNP for the assembly list in real life doesn't show up?

He probably would have won anyways, but it would have been nailbiter tight.
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #155 on: May 14, 2008, 03:14:01 PM »

The BNP won a ward in Havering (can't remember whether it's Gooshays or Noak Hill).
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #156 on: May 14, 2008, 03:19:18 PM »

The BNP won a ward in Havering (can't remember whether it's Gooshays or Noak Hill).

Gooshays. Noak Hill is in Gooshays.
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #157 on: May 14, 2008, 03:24:19 PM »


Thanks. They have a councillor there or Harold Wood, so it's unpleasant, but hardly surprising.

1950s housing estate, nearly all white residents.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #158 on: May 14, 2008, 03:35:21 PM »

Disgusting. BNP.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #159 on: May 15, 2008, 09:05:46 AM »

Map's about two thirds done. Some of the wards Livingstone managed to lose (on the first vote at least) are, to say the least, amazing... as are the size of the defeats in others.
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tomm_86
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« Reply #160 on: May 15, 2008, 10:06:20 AM »

Excellent - I'm working on a second preference map, mostly as it will be "fun" to look at (especially so I can see several Green wards).

I'll post it once you've done the first preferences one - I'm looking forward to it, even though I'm sure I won't like the look of it..
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Serenity Now
tomm_86
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« Reply #161 on: May 23, 2008, 09:44:30 AM »

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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #162 on: May 29, 2008, 07:52:23 AM »

Mayoral ward map is very, very nearly done (ie; will be up here in a few hours, at most). Sorry for the delay.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #163 on: May 29, 2008, 11:05:34 AM »

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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #164 on: May 29, 2008, 11:06:34 AM »

The following is an extract from Labour's Lost Millions written by Eric Hobsbawm in 1983:

"The danger, especially on the left, is not only that activists may be unaware of their and the party's isolation from ordinary people, but that they may not care. They may actually give up the struggle for the workers as a whole, not to mention other sections of the people who do not happen to agree with the 'correct' policy or the way the party is run. They may choose their supporters to fit their convictions, in which case it is likely that others will look elsewhere. For instance, they may see their most congenial constituency as 'the dispossessed', 'the centre of a big decaying city', cosmopolitan and racially mixed, and look for a parliamentary seat in preference in such a place. 'It would be a mistake to stand in a safe seat with a solid white skilled working class... I wouldn't be happy there anyway' (Ken Livingstone). Would it be surprising if the sort of people who have formed the 'historic spine of the Labour Party' would not be happy with such a candidate either? The strength of the labour movement has always been that it could represent all parts of the working class - both Stepney and the Fife coalfield - and it did not discriminate against any. If Ken Livingstone, who is one of the ablest, most prominent, most attractive and strategically placed figures in the part, feels really at ease with only some kinds of the inhabitants of Greater London - is it not reasonable to fear that it will be difficult for him to realize his own and his party's political potential in Britain's greatest city?"
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #165 on: May 29, 2008, 01:20:18 PM »

Good quote and good map too. Well done!
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Hash
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« Reply #166 on: May 29, 2008, 03:03:16 PM »

Funny that no other candidate won the most first prefs in any ward.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #167 on: May 30, 2008, 04:13:35 PM »

Funny that no other candidate won the most first prefs in any ward.

Not really; the fact that one of the candidates was Ken Livingstone meant that a lot of people who might otherwise have voted for Berry or Barnbrook didn't, while Paddick ran a low-profile campaign and lacked the sort of strong geographical base that Hughes had last time round ("natural" LibDem support is quite evenly spread; this is what f***ed the Alliance in '83 and '87, btw).
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #168 on: May 30, 2008, 04:18:26 PM »

Lol at Eltham.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #169 on: May 30, 2008, 07:38:24 PM »


There were actually two wards in Eltham were the Labour assembly-constituency candidate polled more votes than Livingstone.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #170 on: June 26, 2008, 12:45:15 PM »

Some data on ward income brackets and the ward level results here:

https://uselectionatlas.org/WEBLOGS/al/2008/06/26/income-and-the-2008-london-elections/
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #171 on: June 26, 2008, 01:44:06 PM »

Thanks Al!
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