COVID-19 Megathread 5: The Trumps catch COVID-19

[Grassroots]

IHME model now pushed back the dates where many states can safely reopen. Georgia is now June 22nd, Florida is June 14th, Illinois is may 16th

What

[Tekken_Guy]

So what are the chances schools don't meet in the fall?

Many universities seem to be leaning towards cancelling in-person classes.

Yep

No. Universities have discussed that it could happen and have been told to prepare for the possibility of that.  But I haven’t heard anything saying that it more likely than not will be online.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

IHME model now pushed back the dates where many states can safely reopen. Georgia is now June 22nd, Florida is June 14th, Illinois is may 16th

What

New cases today ar over 1,000 one of the highest recorded

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

IHME model now pushed back the dates where many states can safely reopen. Georgia is now June 22nd, Florida is June 14th, Illinois is may 16th

What

New cases today ar over 1,000 one of the highest recorded

You do know, the trend is what is important....

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

IHME model now pushed back the dates where many states can safely reopen. Georgia is now June 22nd, Florida is June 14th, Illinois is may 16th

What

New cases today ar over 1,000 one of the highest recorded

You do know, the trend is what is important....

You do know i dont give a damn what you say...

[Grassroots]

Georgia better be lucky it's a southern state, cause the heat is all that's gonna save them now.

IHME model now pushed back the dates where many states can safely reopen. Georgia is now June 22nd, Florida is June 14th, Illinois is may 16th

What

New cases today ar over 1,000 one of the highest recorded

Breaking news: Backlog inserted!!!!

Prepare for your inevitable doom! Mwahahaha!

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Georgia better be lucky it's a southern state, cause the heat is all that's gonna save them now.

IHME model now pushed back the dates where many states can safely reopen. Georgia is now June 22nd, Florida is June 14th, Illinois is may 16th

What

New cases today ar over 1,000 one of the highest recorded

Breaking news: Backlog inserted!!!!

Prepare for your inevitable doom! Mwahahaha!

It wasnt a backlog

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

IHME model now pushed back the dates where many states can safely reopen. Georgia is now June 22nd, Florida is June 14th, Illinois is may 16th

What

New cases today ar over 1,000 one of the highest recorded

You do know, the trend is what is important....

You do know i dont give a damn what you say...

Very mature. Very tolerant.

[Torrain]

Did Trump just suggest injecting isopropanol into your veins?

What in the actual ****

[Middle-aged Europe]

Did Trump just suggest injecting isopropanol into your veins?

What in the actual ****

He just wants to kill us all.

[Frodo]

AP-NORC poll: Few Americans trust Trump's info on pandemic

President Donald Trump has made himself the daily spokesman for the nation’s coronavirus response. Yet few Americans regularly look to or trust Trump as a source of information on the pandemic, according to a new survey from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research.

Just 28% of Americans say they’re regularly getting information from Trump about the coronavirus and only 23% say they have high levels of trust in what the president is telling the public. Another 21% trust him a moderate amount.

Confidence in Trump is higher among his supporters, though only about half of Republicans say they have a lot of trust in Trump’s information on the pandemic — and 22% say they have little or no trust in what he says about the COVID-19 outbreak.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

It wasnt a backlog

After it went from 707 to 1,072 in just a day?

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Why does anyone think that cases or deaths are going to start suddenly steeply declining any time some?  There’s been no evidence of this in the US, and no evidence in countries that started their lockdowns sooner like Italy.

The lockdowns have stopped the exponential growth of the virus.  But they haven’t slowed it to the point where it is moving toward eradication.  In places where we have seen slow but significant declines, like Italy and NYC, it is likely because those places have such a high proportion infected that they are headed toward herd immunity.

[Grassroots]

 

Georgia better be lucky it's a southern state, cause the heat is all that's gonna save them now.

IHME model now pushed back the dates where many states can safely reopen. Georgia is now June 22nd, Florida is June 14th, Illinois is may 16th

What

New cases today ar over 1,000 one of the highest recorded

Breaking news: Backlog inserted!!!!

Prepare for your inevitable doom! Mwahahaha!

It wasnt a backlog

It only takes common sense to know that it is.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Why does anyone think that cases or deaths are going to start suddenly steeply declining any time some?  There’s been no evidence of this in the US, and no evidence in countries that started their lockdowns sooner like Italy.

The lockdowns have stopped the exponential growth of the virus.  But they haven’t slowed it to the point where it is moving toward eradication.  In places where we have seen slow but significant declines, like Italy and NYC, it is likely because those places have such a high proportion infected that they are headed toward herd immunity.

How is Sweden doing with their lockd....oh, wait.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Did Trump just suggest injecting isopropanol into your veins?

What in the actual ****

I never understood why anyone would want to vote for this imbecile, and I am now even more baffled somehow. This f***ing guy is the President of the United States. I still can't believe it!

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

I’ve linked below to a study by scientists at UC Berkeley using Italian death records to estimate true covid mortality rates.  I believe this is still prior to peer review, and I have only skimmed it, but here are some interesting conclusions they seem to draw from my reading:

- Overall Italian deaths were actually twice the official reported figure (total of 52,000), though all the excess deaths are among people 70 or older.

- At least one region in Northern Italy has indeed achieved herd immunity

- The overall IFR of the virus across the entire population is estimated at 0.6%

- Differences in IFR across age groups are extreme, reaching over 10% among those 90+, but only 0.02% (1 in 5,000) among those 40-49 (they don’t estimate a rate for those under 40, I assume because there are so few deaths).

- In the discussion, the extrapolate from these figures to estimate that 25% of New York City is currently infected.

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.15.20067074v2.full.pdf

[Badger]

AP-NORC poll: Few Americans trust Trump's info on pandemic

President Donald Trump has made himself the daily spokesman for the nation’s coronavirus response. Yet few Americans regularly look to or trust Trump as a source of information on the pandemic, according to a new survey from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research.

Just 28% of Americans say they’re regularly getting information from Trump about the coronavirus and only 23% say they have high levels of trust in what the president is telling the public. Another 21% trust him a moderate amount.

Confidence in Trump is higher among his supporters, though only about half of Republicans say they have a lot of trust in Trump’s information on the pandemic — and 22% say they have little or no trust in what he says about the COVID-19 outbreak.

44% of Americans at least moderately trust Trump on giving advice regarding the Coronavirus, even though he has been repeatedly shown to me possibly the most ignorant repository of the statements, misinformation, and outright suppression of reality possibly in the entire country.

Trump supporters are brainwashed cultists, chapter 3721.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Good article from 538 on the challenges in interpreting the various numbers out there:

One Chart Isn’t Going To Tell You When The Pandemic Peaked

[The Dowager Mod]

We now have to tell people not to ingest Clorox because the president is an idiot.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Is there any hope that plasma will be a treatment?

[John Dule]

Did Trump just suggest injecting isopropanol into your veins?

What in the actual ****

After hoping for years that all of Trump's supporters would drink bleach, he might finally come through for me.

[GP270watch]

https://twitter.com/joshtpm/status/1253451487415619586

[It’s so Joever]

Why does anyone think that cases or deaths are going to start suddenly steeply declining any time some?  There’s been no evidence of this in the US, and no evidence in countries that started their lockdowns sooner like Italy.

The lockdowns have stopped the exponential growth of the virus.  But they haven’t slowed it to the point where it is moving toward eradication.  In places where we have seen slow but significant declines, like Italy and NYC, it is likely because those places have such a high proportion infected that they are headed toward herd immunity.

How is Sweden doing with their lockd....oh, wait.

Since you mention it,
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.businessinsider.com/how-sweden-and-norway-handled-coronavirus-differently-2020-4%3famp

Not very good, thank you very much.
Now would you prefer to be paid in Rubles or Bitcoin for your services to the Russian government today?

[KaiserDave]

Why does anyone think that cases or deaths are going to start suddenly steeply declining any time some?  There’s been no evidence of this in the US, and no evidence in countries that started their lockdowns sooner like Italy.

The lockdowns have stopped the exponential growth of the virus.  But they haven’t slowed it to the point where it is moving toward eradication.  In places where we have seen slow but significant declines, like Italy and NYC, it is likely because those places have such a high proportion infected that they are headed toward herd immunity.

How is Sweden doing with their lockd....oh, wait.

Since you mention it,
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.businessinsider.com/how-sweden-and-norway-handled-coronavirus-differently-2020-4%3famp

Not very good, thank you very much.
Now would you prefer to be paid in Rubles or Bitcoin for your services to the Russian government today?

Well if I could dispute this, yes there have been higher deaths but they've still flattened the curve without nearly the amount of other consequences.

It's not a total disaster, and while not necessarily applicable in austerity ridden USA, is still interesting.