German and Irish backlash against Wilson and/or Cox in 1916 and 1920

[minionofmidas]

Is anyone suprised?  Wilson hated the Irish, Blacks, Hispanics....

I think it may be possible that Wilson hated everyone except Wilson.

After his stroke, he certainly did. He should have been removed from office for incapability in early 1919, and if medicinal knowledge had been where it's now then, he would have been.

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Huh? You what, mate?

[minionofmidas]

I'm sure there's more good examples.

German Catholic counties in Wisconsin:

Jefferson County 1912- 62.4 percent Democratic
Jefferson County 1916- 47.7 percent Democratic

Ozaukee County 1912- 63.3 percent Democratic
Ozaukee County 1916- 48.4 percent Democratic

Dodge County 1912- 60.0 percent Democratic
Dodge County 1916- 46.8 percent Democratic

Yeah, I think it's safe to say that Wilson alienated ethnics.

And each one of those counties had a huge dive for the Dems in 1920.

Then they both went back to the Dems for Al Smith and for FDR. Before shifting towards Willkie.

Do you think there's also a German thing involved with the strong shifts towards Eisenhower?

And, which catagories do these counties fall under

Brown County, WI (Wilson gained in 1916, Cox got crushed, Smith won, FDR won 3 times, and JFK won with a 21 point shift)

Strong Polish presence maybe?

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Probably also German Catholics.

[minionofmidas]

Ancestry data for Brown and Lincoln Co.s (from "total ancestries tallied" table - there are several different ways of calculating ancestry percentages)
All ancestries over 1% included. Wisconsin and US figures added for comparison value for groups exceeding 5% in Brown and/or Lincoln.

BROWN
German 31.0% (WI 35.3%, US 14.9%)
Polish 8.9% (WI 7.7%, US 3.1%)
Belgian 8.6% (WI 0.9%, US 0.1%)
Irish 8.4% (WI 9.0%, US 10.6%)
Dutch 5.4% (WI 2.3%, US 1.6%)
French 5.1% (WI 3.2%, US 2.9%)
English 3.6%
Norwegian 3.2% (WI 7.0%, US 1.6%)
Czech 2.4%
Franco-Canadian 2.3%
Swedish 2.0%
Italian 1.8%
Danish 1.1%
"American" 2.9% (terms like "Appalachian", individual state names, etc)
"Other" 7.9% (White, Black, Hispanic, Asian, American Indian, individual hispanic, asian, or american indian groups)

LINCOLN
German 46.3%
Irish 7.6%
Polish 7.1%
Norwegian 5.9%
French 4.6%
Swedish 3.9%
English 3.7%
Dutch 2.2%
Franco-Canadian 1.9%
Italian 1.8%
Finnish 1.1%
Swiss 1.1%
Czech 1.0%
"American" 2.9%
"Other" 2.8%

That Green Bay Belgian community might have a lot to do with Brown's pro-Wilson swing in 1916.

[minionofmidas]

While Lincoln is heavily German, it's only 23% Catholic according to the ARDA, Catholicism only narrowly beating LCMS as strongest congregation with ELCA in third. Brown is 52% Catholic.