The Democrats will put all their money and man power in the 2nd District. There will be no “walk around money” for the Delta or Pine Bluff. The Democrats are not contesting 7 of 15 State Senate seats and 44 of 100 State House Seats.The Republicans are not contesting 4 Senate seats or 17 House seats. There is not a great incentive for many weak Democrats or Blacks to vote in many area of the State.
Hardly anyone dislikes Hutchinson. Most of the Democrat candidates for State office and Congress are relatively unknown.
Hutchinson could approach 70%.
I live in a Delta county with a population of 49,000 that is about 53% Black. There was contest between white STate Senator and the black lady mayor of a small city. Less than 2,000 voted in the Democrat primary. The white Democrat was overwhelmingly renominated. About 30 to 50% of his supporters in the primary will support Hutchinson in November.
I just do not see a large black vote in this area in November. The lower that vote, the closer Hutchinson can come to 70%. It is good to set tough goals.
I did not say pass 70%. I said approach.
