Democratic WV primary + NE fake contest results thread (1st polls close @7:30ET)

[Eraserhead]

I'm so glad that West Virginia is getting an exit poll. I figured we might not get another exit poll until June 7th with the GOP race over. I'm surprised they're gonna bother with Nebraska though, that's odd. I guess they had already paid to have it done before Cruz and Kasich bolted.

[Eraserhead]

Any news on the turnout yet?

[Eraserhead]

I want Bernie to win as many states as he can before it's over, so I hope he pulls it off today (plus I put a few bucks down on him on Predictit).

[Eraserhead]

I  wonder how bad Clinton's "honest and trustworthy" number will be in WV. I wouldn't be shocked if Sanders hits a new low as well.

[Eraserhead]

If the early exit info is accurate, Clinton is going to be vaporized.

[Eraserhead]

Yeah Clinton's probably not breaking 40% with these numbers.

It does sound like there will be a significant protest vote against both Clinton and Sanders too.

[Eraserhead]

Ummm....

9% of Clinton voters would back Trump over Clinton
39% of Sanders voters would back Trump over Sanders

Looks like we may have some Trump supporters causing shenanigans in WV.

More like a closed primary with lots of conservadems

It's only semi-closed.

[Eraserhead]

Did they release Sanders-Trump numbers among Democratic voters?

[Eraserhead]

Hillary in third place in exit polls according to a tweet.

That would be amazing and hilarious if true. Unfortunately, with the protest vote being split between 5 different candidates, I highly doubt it happens. Why would people favor Judd over O'Malley or Farrell?

I don't think O'Malley is on the ballot here.

[Eraserhead]

I feel like the protest vote might end up being underestimated by the exit. I guess we'll see soon enough.

[Eraserhead]

I just need Bernie to win by more than 10% for Predictit reasons.

[Eraserhead]

For tonight, Sanders is on pace to get 17 delegates to Clinton's 12. That necessitates the following in the remaining states to lead Clinton 2026-2025 in pledged delegates on June 14:

KY: 58% Sanders
OR: 85.1% Sanders (deny Hillary viability)
VI: 64% Clinton
PR: 52% Clinton
CA: 65% Sanders
NJ: 58% Sanders
NM: 56% Sanders
DC: 70% Clinton
ND/SD/MT: 85.1% Sanders (deny Hillary viability)

It's a VERY tough path.

It's virtually impossible but there's no reason for him to not finish this out when he's come this far.

[Eraserhead]

Clinton 54% - Sanders 46% in the Nebraska beauty contest now.

It's definitely looking like it'll end up fairly close which is kind of what I figured.

[Eraserhead]

Clinton 53% - Sanders 47% in FAKENE.

[Eraserhead]

Honestly, that map makes Ohio stand out just as much. I still don't get why Sanders collapsed so badly in Ohio. I mean, I'm not saying he should've won it, but if demographics really are destiny, he probably should've only lost it by 3-4%.

Some people say Pennsylvania helps to explain it but I disagree. PA had a closed primary (unlike Ohio) and Clinton has some pretty explicit ties to the state. Even so Sanders still ended up doing better in PA than he did in Ohio. Very strange.