The Hill polls 10 House districts (Sophomores, I guess?)

[Skill and Chance]

WTF Phil Hare?  Nothing else is too surprising.  Several of these seats are gone, but that was already known.  The PA incumbents are more competitive than many had feared.

[Skill and Chance]

I would imagine that Hare's district would be one of the more difficult ones to poll.


It takes a linear algebra professor to think that up.

[Skill and Chance]

I'm most interested in NY-23, now that it's a two-way race. Aside from NY-19, that race looks to be the most competitive in NY. Many Democrats, surprisingly, seem to have benefited from Paladino's collapse. I didn't think the Governor's race would affect things.

Likewise Murphy and Carney could be benefiting from a late Sestak surge in PA.  Also, wasn't Kagen's seat in WI supposed to be gone, or certainly much higher on the target list than Hare's in IL?