Looking at the Civiqs poll and Gravis, Ive started to notice terrible problems in this Gravis's methodology(what else is new).
Looking at how things are broken down by race
Gravis:D/R
Whites-40/54
AA- 66/33
Latinos-31/59
Asians-63/36
Civiqs: D/R
Whites-29/65
AA-78/14
Latinos-70/25
Asians not shown
The fact that Gravis shows Latinos as lean R, African Americans as a 2/3s group, and Whites as almost even makes me lose hope that this poll really is good.
Civiqs however has pretty believable demographic numbers, though I wish that they showed Asians.
Good analysis of Gravis poll. The poll is sort of odd.
Civiqs seems an outlier. But maybe it is on to a revolution.
Before I judge any more polls I want to see how Ohio 12 plays out in August.
The Marist and YoUGove polls in Florida at about the same date with such different results is disturbing.
Are there realignments going on that are hard to poll?