Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)

[NeederNodder]

These results are only early ballots?

Yes

That just makes these results even more insane.

[Classic Conservative]

I have a gut feeling that Thompson will win.

[InheritTheWind]

I wonder if this could be the Democratic version of Bob Turner winning Anthony Weiner's district

[heatcharger]

Current tally with some early vote from Sedgwick and Butler:

Thompson (D) - 14,553 - 60.9%
Estes (R) - 8,973 - 37.5%
Rockhold (L) - 341 - 1.4%

I kinda thought the Libertarian would have a better showing.

[The Other Castro]

Tom Bonier‏ @tbonier  1h1 hour ago
Well, wow. It appears Thompson won the EV/AV in Sedgwick 61%-36%, while the turnout was 42% Reg Dems, 44% Reg GOPs. #KS04

[Adam Griffin]

Tom Bonier‏ @tbonier  1h1 hour ago
Well, wow. It appears Thompson won the EV/AV in Sedgwick 61%-36%, while the turnout was 42% Reg Dems, 44% Reg GOPs. #KS04

My butthole just clinched with joy. Surely this can't be right? Is Thompson picking up every unaffiliated voter?

[Gass3268]

Kyle Kondik‏ @kkondik  3m3 minutes ago
More
 Well at the very least this is a considerable moral victory for Dems - and perhaps an actual victory.

[Xing]

It could be that the Democrats cannibalized most of their votes through early voting, but if that's not the case, Estes could be in trouble. Again, though, these are hypotheticals. We'll know for sure soon enough.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Were there any reports on Election Day turnout (low, medium, high...?)

[MAINEiac4434]

Butler County reporting, 54-43 Estes
https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/851952864775876613

69-24 Trump; 11% of CD's votes in 2016 - with Sedgwick combined that was 81% of all 2016 votes.

Seems like a good sign, no?

[Confused Democrat]

STOP GETTING MY HOPES UP

[The Other Castro]

Butler County reporting, 54-43 Estes
https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/851952864775876613

69-24 Trump; 11% of CD's votes in 2016 - with Sedgwick combined that was 81% of all 2016 votes.

Seems like a good sign, no?

A swing from Trump +45 to Estes +11? Yeah.

[Chief Justice Keef]

Hey Democrats, here's a sign you don't need to be a Blue Dog to win in rural districts.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

FIRST AP RESULTS:

April 11, 2017 - 08:21PM ET   (i) = incumbent      = winner      = runoff   
U.S. House - District 4 - Special General
South Central
County   Precincts   
J. Thompson
(Dem)   
R. Estes
(GOP)   
C. Rockhold
(Lib)
Total   1/620   
14,226
62%   8,563
37%   325
1%
Barber   0/23   0
0%   0
0%   0
0%
Butler   0/41   0
0%   0
0%   0
0%
Chautauqua   0/15   0
0%   0
0%   0
0%
Comanche   0/5   0
0%   0
0%   0
0%
Cowley   0/59   0
0%   0
0%   0
0%
Edwards   0/15   0
0%   0
0%   0
0%
Elk   0/11   0
0%   0
0%   0
0%
Greenwood   0/19   0
0%   0
0%   0
0%
Harper   0/16   0
0%   0
0%   0
0%
Harvey   0/38   0
0%   0
0%   0
0%
Kingman   0/28   0
0%   0
0%   0
0%
Kiowa   0/12   0
0%   0
0%   0
0%
Pawnee   0/5   0
0%   0
0%   0
0%
Pratt   0/12   0
0%   0
0%   0
0%
Sedgwick   1/257   14,226
62%   8,563
37%   325
1%
Stafford   0/24   0
0%   0
0%   0
0%
Sumner   0/40   0
0%   0
0%   0
0%

[heatcharger]

It could be that the Democrats cannibalized most of their votes through early voting, but if that's not the case, Estes could be in trouble. Again, though, these are hypotheticals. We'll know for sure soon enough.

Yeah, I expect the Election Day returns to come crashing down on Thompson, but this is nice to see so far.

[Devout Centrist]

It's going to be close.

[Adam Griffin]

SoS still doesn't have Butler's results listed, but I'm not betting on DDHQ getting the numbers wrong.

[Classic Conservative]

Reporting back...my friend says Estes is doing terrible in the remaining areas. Will update when possible. Thompson might win this!

Who is this friend? Is he Trump's anyomous birth certificate source?

[Roronoa D. Law]

EV has me skeptical Sedgwick is no Johnson County but Trump is the Republican that can make large R counties like Duval, Oklahoma, and Maricopa competitive.

[Adam Griffin]

If Dems have cannabilized to a large degree and this comes down to the wire, then Sumner County (72-21 Trump) may make the difference. It's the only other county where at least 3% of the 2016 vote is located.

[Tartarus Sauce]

It could be that the Democrats cannibalized most of their votes through early voting, but if that's not the case, Estes could be in trouble. Again, though, these are hypotheticals. We'll know for sure soon enough.

That's the thing though, a lot of these votes are coming from Republicans based on the early vote partisan registration. That's why the numbers are so insane.

[cinyc]

SoS still doesn't have Butler's results listed, but I'm not betting on DDHQ getting the numbers wrong.

The reported Butler results are easily verifiable:

http://maps.bucoks.com/elections/public/G06.php?election=38#103

[Devout Centrist]

Estes up 62-35 in Barber's 1st precinct

[Terry the Fat Shark]

This might sound odd but could the Trump/Pence robocalls and Cruz visit help election day vote topple this...jw?

[Jeppe]

Barber County
Trump - 82%
Este - 62%