NC: Rasmussen: Romney +6

[Fargobison]

Romney 52
Obama 46

Link

[Franzl]

Rasmussen really is contradicting other firms a lot....

So either they're a genius and most other firms are wrong, or something is wrong with Rasmussen at the moment.

The latter is more likely....but I'm not certain of it.

[Devils30]

I think Romney is probably up 3 in NC but the bigger concern is whether Obama is ahead in Virginia. Only the R leaning polls have Romney ahead there.

[pepper11]

Rasmussen really is contradicting other firms a lot....

So either they're a genius and most other firms are wrong, or something is wrong with Rasmussen at the moment.

The latter is more likely....but I'm not certain of it.

Rasmussen has showed a tie in NC previously, so yeah, the divergence is weird. Might be right though. And based on early voting results, it looks like he may be in NC.

[Lief 🗽]

Strange numbers.

[J. J.]

Actually, probably right on.  That early voting is down about 8 points from 2008.  Looking at some of the demographics, I could see a six point win. 

[Franzl]

Actually, probably right on.  That early voting is down about 8 points from 2008.  Looking at some of the demographics, I could see a six point win. 

How do you explain the multiple polls that disagree with Rasmussen?

[J. J.]

Actually, probably right on.  That early voting is down about 8 points from 2008.  Looking at some of the demographics, I could see a six point win. 

How do you explain the multiple polls that disagree with Rasmussen?

Romney might have the modeling right (at least for NC).  He might also be catch an uptick. 

[Landslide Lyndon]

Actually, probably right on.  That early voting is down about 8 points from 2008.  Looking at some of the demographics, I could see a six point win. 

How do you explain the multiple polls that disagree with Rasmussen?

Easy, they are all polls from liberal hack firms.

[krazen1211]

Actually, probably right on.  That early voting is down about 8 points from 2008.  Looking at some of the demographics, I could see a six point win. 

Spot on, good man. Vote counts are soaring for Republican whites.

[Franzl]

Actually, probably right on.  That early voting is down about 8 points from 2008.  Looking at some of the demographics, I could see a six point win. 

How do you explain the multiple polls that disagree with Rasmussen?

Romney might have the modeling right (at least for NC).  He might also be catch an uptick. 

Because Rasmussen has such a great track record in North Carolina?

[dirks]

Actually, probably right on.  That early voting is down about 8 points from 2008.  Looking at some of the demographics, I could see a six point win. 

How do you explain the multiple polls that disagree with Rasmussen?

Massive oversampling of dems...but even those show a slight romney win or tie

[Franzl]

Actually, probably right on.  That early voting is down about 8 points from 2008.  Looking at some of the demographics, I could see a six point win. 

How do you explain the multiple polls that disagree with Rasmussen?

Massive oversampling of dems...but even those show a slight romney win or tie

Don't know why I didn't previously have you on ignore, but better late than never. Good bye.

[Tender Branson]

Romney probably wins it slightly this time. But only by 1-3.

[Lief 🗽]

Interesting that some folks believe that North Carolina is Romney +6 and Ohio is a tie when it's more likely that the opposite is true at this point.

[Franzl]

Romney probably wins it slightly this time. But only by 1-3.

Considering that Virginia is relatively close, I have trouble believing Obama is actually ahead in North Carolina, so I agree, Romney likely wins it. But it's not the safe Romney state people (J.J. and some of the trolls) are claiming.

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

Interesting that some folks believe that North Carolina is Romney +6 and Ohio is a tie when it's more likely that the opposite is true at this point.

Ohio is not Romney +6.

[Simfan34]

Stupendous news!

[Lief 🗽]

Interesting that some folks believe that North Carolina is Romney +6 and Ohio is a tie when it's more likely that the opposite is true at this point.

Ohio is not Romney +6.

lol, you know what I mean. It's more likely that Ohio is Obama +6 and North Carolina is a tie than the numbers that Rasmussen is showing.

[J. J.]

Actually, probably right on.  That early voting is down about 8 points from 2008.  Looking at some of the demographics, I could see a six point win. 

Spot on, good man. Vote counts are soaring for Republican whites.

It's soaring for old Republicans.    The under 45 vote is down 10+ points.  Black turnout is up, but only by 2.5 points.  

[J. J.]

Actually, probably right on.  That early voting is down about 8 points from 2008.  Looking at some of the demographics, I could see a six point win. 

Spot on, good man. Vote counts are soaring for Republican whites.

It's soaring for old Republicans.    The under 45 vote is down 10+ points.  Black turnout is up, but only by 2.5 points.  

I just checked.  As of yesterday, NC was 8.9 points more R that at this point in 2008.  I can easily believe Romney at +6. 

[Alcon]

Actually, probably right on.  That early voting is down about 8 points from 2008.  Looking at some of the demographics, I could see a six point win. 

How do you explain the multiple polls that disagree with Rasmussen?

Romney might have the modeling right (at least for NC).  He might also be catch an uptick. 

i don't even know where to begin.

[Yank2133]

Actually, probably right on.  That early voting is down about 8 points from 2008.  Looking at some of the demographics, I could see a six point win. 

How do you explain the multiple polls that disagree with Rasmussen?

Romney might have the modeling right (at least for NC).  He might also be catch an uptick. 

Or Rasmussen is off by 3-4 points.

[dirks]

It's not 08...obama is toast in NC. Time to pack up his traveling circus and abandon the state