2013 Elections in Germany

[RedPrometheus]

A new poll from GMS for Lower Saxony:

CDU: 41%
SPD: 33%
Greens: 13%
FDP: 5%
Left: 3%
Pirates: 3%
Others:2%

CDU-FDP 46% vs SPD-Greens 46%!

It stays exciting!

[RedPrometheus]

Or CDU-FDP pulls it out again ... (unlikely, but who knows).

I think it's possible, especially if the lack of enthusiasm with socialdemoratic voters continues.

Anyway I'll be voting with both votes SPD - as a "loyal" party member I should even if I don't agree with our choice of candidate for chancellor. At least our local candidates are good.

[RedPrometheus]

Schade Steinbrück alles ist vorbei...alles ist vorbei...alles ist vorbei.

Well both polls were taken before the convention on sunday so there MIGHT be a bump. But for him to resign now would be even worse now probably.

[RedPrometheus]

AfD is rather a threat for another black-yellow majority in September. They might be able to gain enough former FDP-votes to keep the party below five percent. A significant part of FDP-supporters is dissatisfied with Merkel's management of the Euro-crisis.

But even if FDP reached 5%, AfD would still be a threat to it if they also obtained 5%, no?

If the AfD enters the Bundestag a new grand coalition would be almost guaranteed.

[RedPrometheus]

And two new Federal polls:

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 26.04.2013, Federal Election:

CDU/CSU: 40%
SPD: 28%
Grüne: 14%
Linke: 6%

FDP: 4%
Piraten: -
AfD: 3%

CDU/CSU without majority (40-48). Red-Green without majority (42-46).

http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/politbarometer.htm

Infratest Dimap, 26.04.2013, Federal Election:

CDU/CSU: 40%
SPD: 27%
Grüne: 14%
Linke: 7%

FDP: 4%
Piraten: -
AfD: 3%

CDU/CSU without majority (40-48). Red-Green without majority (41-47).

http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/dimap.htm

[RedPrometheus]

SPD: 79%
Greens: 52%
Left: 48%
FDP: 34%
CDU/CSU: 3%

That's a clear result ;-)

[RedPrometheus]

SPD: 87%
Die Linke: 81,5%
Greens: 80,4%
Die Partei: 79,3%
Pirates: 73,9%
FDP: 55,4%
CDU/CSU: 41,3%
AfD: 38%