Okay. I married ethan chens and Nathan rakichs sheets to analyze by year,month,state,etc for each year starting with 2017. Check out the link below.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1yjP5MyzWY0KITB1YWyZmCQ8T_-geDfVx7Z4aHq93PwQ/edit?usp=drivesdkOther than 2017/2018 dems do worse in november,december,and january than the other months. What's really interesting is looking at the year average and the popular margin for each year.... it's eerily accurate. We will see how 2024 special elections go, but if they stay somewhat similar next year.... may be looking at a blowout. Or the whole special election analysis is astrology for election nerds... which is the theory I lean towards.
