CBS/YouGov: Trump up big in NY/PA/CA

[Vosem]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Throw it in the trash.

[Vosem]

Scrolling through YouGov's polling history, they're wrong a lot. They're usually more favorable to _trump than reality (forecasting a tie in Ohio with Kasich, a double-digit win in Virginia, and single-digit Cruz wins in Wisconsin and Texas rather than the double-digit landslides that took place) but they've also gotten things wrong in the other direction (they had _trump barely leading Cruz in Illinois, when in reality he won comfortably; they also had Cruz within single-digits in Georgia, where he came in third in reality) and sometimes they've just been wrong in other ways (they had _trump and Cruz correct in Michigan, but their poll released 3 days before the vote had Rubio leading Kasich for third place, contradicting all other polling in the state; the final gap ended up being 24-9 in Kasich's favor).

So, yeah. They're not actively malicious, or biased in any direction; they're just bad, and in the places they've challenged the general polling consensus, the general polling consensus has invariably turned out to be correct.