Could Hillary be chilled from running? (user search)
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  Could Hillary be chilled from running? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Could Hillary be chilled from running?  (Read 877 times)
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« on: August 22, 2014, 11:09:32 AM »

Interesting theory. If they take the senate period that would send a signal. Campaigning is a stressful thing, and someone who is getting up there age wise might not want to go through it again if she would have to WORK for it and not cruise to victory like every Democrat here seems to think.
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #1 on: August 22, 2014, 11:15:57 AM »

The difference was that those were first term midterms and the incumbent was never unpopular to begin with. Democrats rolled off their success in 2006 in the open 2008, which doesn't make it inconceivable that Republicans could do the same.
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #2 on: August 22, 2014, 11:23:07 AM »

The difference was that those were first term midterms and the incumbent was never unpopular to begin with. Democrats rolled off their success in 2006 in the open 2008, which doesn't make it inconceivable that Republicans could do the same.

Still, politicians more than anybody know how quickly things can change. Hillary personally probably knows that in 1990/1991 it was considered a suicide mission to go up against the extremely popular Bush 41. How did that turn out again? Besides, even if Republicans take the Senate, Democrats could easily gain it back again if 2016 is a good (or even modest) year for them.
y

The 2016 senate will be interesting. If Republicans get an expendable majority, they could still lose Johnson and Kirk (for the record I would welcome Feingold back if they had a seat to spare), but if the NV Lt. Gov race turns out right, Sandoval can cover the loss by taking out Reid and Bennet in CO would be vulnerable, too.
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #3 on: August 22, 2014, 11:25:11 AM »

The Democrats steamrolled the Republicans in 1986. It didn't prevent H.W. Bush from running and it didn't prevent Bob Dole, who lost Majority Leader in 86, from running in the primaries either.

Why are you a Republican, King?
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #4 on: August 22, 2014, 03:29:50 PM »

Wow, I've never seen King explain that before. I always thought the blue avatar was more of a joke, like Joe Republic's old R-NV avatar.

And I get called a hack for bringing up something everyone has been wanting to ask
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #5 on: August 22, 2014, 09:44:28 PM »

Hillary won't decline to run out of fear of losing.  if she declines to run it will be because of "health", ie after devoting much of her life to career pursuits pretty consistently since she was a teenager, she doesn't want to spend her 70s living the high-stress, low-sleep lifestyle, and would rather sit on beaches and pay the bills with those 6-figure speaking engagements.
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