Insight West Polls: AZ Trump +5 NV Trump +3 CA Clinton +29 WA Clinton +12 (user search)
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  Insight West Polls: AZ Trump +5 NV Trump +3 CA Clinton +29 WA Clinton +12 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Insight West Polls: AZ Trump +5 NV Trump +3 CA Clinton +29 WA Clinton +12  (Read 3195 times)
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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Posts: 11,475
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« on: September 21, 2016, 04:25:33 PM »

Overall, these numbers seem realistic (Excepting the odd 3rd party numbers).

Trump has consolidated much of the Republican base that he had issues with an AZ is definitely looking like a +4-5 Trump lead.

California looks a bit weird with such low level of 3rd party support, but could easily see Cali ending up +25 Clinton this cycle.

Washington seems realistic.

Nevada seems odd, but not inconsistent with some of the other polls we are seeing showing a narrow Trump lead in the state hit worse by the housing crisis, that is still barely recovering, and then throw in the SoCal Anglo retirees (As I argued elsewhere) and you have something that is likely slightly understating Clinton support, but there is still a real battle going on in the state this GE.
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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,475
United States


« Reply #1 on: September 21, 2016, 08:02:37 PM »

Pot is ahead in all three states by convincing margins.

I assume it's ahead with you as well.

There will be a minimum of seven Green states come November, and quite possibly nine, including the entire Western US (aside from ID,WY,MT and NM).

Clever joke on "assuming it is a head with you as well. Wink

Now I think where our friend Spicy Purrito might have been coming from is a large number of Millennials showing up to vote in these three states for legalization, and it might well help win NV for Clinton

Likely not enough in AZ, unless Clinton's national numbers improve by 1-2%, but it will definitely be something that dramatically increases Millennial turnout, which is a demographic that both despises Trump and also views Clinton as untrustworthy.

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