2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - Part 3

[2016]

A poll of a Missouri stare senate race in the 22nd district (which covers almost all of Jefferson county) has Claire up 3 over Hawley. Which would be consistent with the CNN poll having Claire up 3+ https://static1.squarespace.com/static/59015f4b37c581b2ce01e5b3/t/5bc1da8e652deab94f127930/1539431056356/MOScout+Weekly+Poll+-+Senate+22+-+10.13.18.pdf

Republican Wieland leads Democrat Robert Butler 48-38. I doubt McCaskill is up 3 in that District.

[Gass3268]

A poll of a Missouri stare senate race in the 22nd district (which covers almost all of Jefferson county) has Claire up 3 over Hawley. Which would be consistent with the CNN poll having Claire up 3+ https://static1.squarespace.com/static/59015f4b37c581b2ce01e5b3/t/5bc1da8e652deab94f127930/1539431056356/MOScout+Weekly+Poll+-+Senate+22+-+10.13.18.pdf

This is from Remington (R) too. Not a bad poll for Claire. Jefferson County is definitely a county she needs to keep close.

[Hindsight was 2020]

A poll of a Missouri stare senate race in the 22nd district (which covers almost all of Jefferson county) has Claire up 3 over Hawley. Which would be consistent with the CNN poll having Claire up 3+ https://static1.squarespace.com/static/59015f4b37c581b2ce01e5b3/t/5bc1da8e652deab94f127930/1539431056356/MOScout+Weekly+Poll+-+Senate+22+-+10.13.18.pdf

Republican Wieland leads Democrat Robert Butler 48-38. I doubt McCaskill is up 3 in that District.

She won this seat by 13 points last time so it’s actually quite believable

[JG]

A poll of a Missouri stare senate race in the 22nd district (which covers almost all of Jefferson county) has Claire up 3 over Hawley. Which would be consistent with the CNN poll having Claire up 3+ https://static1.squarespace.com/static/59015f4b37c581b2ce01e5b3/t/5bc1da8e652deab94f127930/1539431056356/MOScout+Weekly+Poll+-+Senate+22+-+10.13.18.pdf

Republican Wieland leads Democrat Robert Butler 48-38. I doubt McCaskill is up 3 in that District.

For McCaskill to be tied with Hawley right now, it definitely means she is getting some support from republican or republican-leaning independents.

[Ebsy]

Jefferson County is the whole ballgame in the Senate race.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Jefferson County is the whole ballgame in the Senate race.

How about St. Charles and Clay?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

A poll of a Missouri stare senate race in the 22nd district (which covers almost all of Jefferson county) has Claire up 3 over Hawley. Which would be consistent with the CNN poll having Claire up 3+ https://static1.squarespace.com/static/59015f4b37c581b2ce01e5b3/t/5bc1da8e652deab94f127930/1539431056356/MOScout+Weekly+Poll+-+Senate+22+-+10.13.18.pdf

If McCaskill wins this district, she edges out Hawley.

[Ebsy]

Jefferson County is the whole ballgame in the Senate race.

How about St. Charles and Clay?

In an even race McCaskill is almost certainly going to win Clay County and lose St. Charles. Margins are important but I think things will be fairly predictable there. If McCaskill can win Jefferson County though, that will take a big bite out of Hawley's votes margin, and if she can run up a lead there, it will make a big difference.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

I really hope McCaskill is highlighting her opposition to "right-to-work." Or maybe the DLC won't let her, because they're afraid she'll hurt Michael Bloomberg's feelings.

[Antonio the Sixth]

I really hope McCaskill is highlighting her opposition to "right-to-work." Or maybe the DLC won't let her, because they're afraid she'll hurt Michael Bloomberg's feelings.

This really should be a no-brainer given that two thirds of Missourians stand with her on this.

[Ebsy]

I really hope McCaskill is highlighting her opposition to "right-to-work." Or maybe the DLC won't let her, because they're afraid she'll hurt Michael Bloomberg's feelings.

She mentions it when she is on the stump, though I don't think I have seen any ads on it.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Jefferson County is the whole ballgame in the Senate race.

How about St. Charles and Clay?

In an even race McCaskill is almost certainly going to win Clay County and lose St. Charles. Margins are important but I think things will be fairly predictable there. If McCaskill can win Jefferson County though, that will take a big bite out of Hawley's votes margin, and if she can run up a lead there, it will make a big difference.

Will Ann Wagner win?

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Jefferson County is the whole ballgame in the Senate race.

How about St. Charles and Clay?

In an even race McCaskill is almost certainly going to win Clay County and lose St. Charles. Margins are important but I think things will be fairly predictable there. If McCaskill can win Jefferson County though, that will take a big bite out of Hawley's votes margin, and if she can run up a lead there, it will make a big difference.

Will Ann Wagner win?

Ann Wagner will probably win unless McCaskill is carrying the District by at least 20 points.

[ON Progressive]

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1050843562009604102

JMC isn't the greatest pollster, but it's nice to get proper polling out of GA-06 and GA-07. They're also polling the gubernatorial race in each of those CDs.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Lets see how different their GA-06 poll is from the probably fake Coronado Poll.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Midnight Poll release from ABC for reasons only ABC knows-

Democrats: 53%
Republicans: 42%

Now that's among RVs. The article mentions that among LVs the lead ranges from D+12 to D+14 depending on turnout, but presented no numbers.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trumps-approval-improves-dems-lead-house/story?id=58469893

[junior chįmp]

Midnight Poll release from ABC-

Democrats: 53%
Republicans: 42%

Now that's among LVs. The article mentions that among RVs the lead ranges from D+12 to D+14 but presented no numbers.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trumps-approval-improves-dems-lead-house/story?id=58469893

The Republican party is finished

[Zaybay]

Midnight Poll release from ABC-

Democrats: 53%
Republicans: 42%

Now that's among RVs. The article mentions that among LVs the lead ranges from D+12 to D+14 but presented no numbers.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trumps-approval-improves-dems-lead-house/story?id=58469893

That Kavanaugh bump is really devastating.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Midnight Poll release from ABC-

Democrats: 53%
Republicans: 42%

Now that's among RVs. The article mentions that among LVs the lead ranges from D+12 to D+14 depending on turnout, but presented no numbers.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trumps-approval-improves-dems-lead-house/story?id=58469893

My god that gender gap

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Voters trust the Democrats over the Republicans with dealing with the Supreme Court 49-38%

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Midnight Poll release from ABC-

Democrats: 53%
Republicans: 42%

Now that's among RVs. The article mentions that among LVs the lead ranges from D+12 to D+14 depending on turnout, but presented no numbers.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trumps-approval-improves-dems-lead-house/story?id=58469893

My god that gender gap

I'll take it.

However, we should probably note that the previous ABC/WaPo poll from Aug. 26-29 was Dem 52 - Rep 38 (RVs), so this isn't really an improvement in comparison to that.

Still, I am not about to complain about any GCB poll with a double digit dem lead. Bring more like that, please.

[Zaybay]

Rasmussen

D+10 (last poll was a tie)

https://scottrasmussen.com/full-week-generic-ballot/

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Rasmussen

D+10 (last poll was a tie)

https://scottrasmussen.com/full-week-generic-ballot/

Oh wow.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Rasmussen

D+10 (last poll was a tie)

https://scottrasmussen.com/full-week-generic-ballot/

LOL @ "last poll was a tie."

I guess Reuters has competition for most noisy/junky.

[Gass3268]

Rasmussen

D+10 (last poll was a tie)

https://scottrasmussen.com/full-week-generic-ballot/

This isn’t Rasmussen, this is just Scott Rasmussen. Scotty got fired from his own polling firm a couple years ago and it looks like he does his own polling on his own now.