What states are you confident will vote for a certain party in 2024?
There are only a few states I am unsure about. All the others already voted for their candidate in '20 - '24 is likely going to be a Benjamin Harrison vs. Grover Cleveland style rematch.
The map at the moment leans to Trump. I'm unsure about Georgia simply because of the future trends statewide are really bad for Team Red, but they're not yet solid for Team Blue.
AZ will flip to Trump, along with MI, PA, and WI.
Trump may win the popular vote actually, and more states than he won in 2016.
No matter how you feel about that clown, his complete iron-clad hold on the Republican Party will allow him to do something very rare:
survive.
I'm 50% on betting that it will also be the GOP's downfall: their association with him could throw the party into a deep hole for the second half of the decade of the 20s --- if Trump is given a second non-consecutive term from 2025-2029.