MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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Posts: 15,276
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« on: September 18, 2021, 11:03:33 AM » |
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DeSantis/NO +4, in line with 2020-PRES and the increasing nationalization of non-federal races. Here, a slightly more favorable environment (in line with the CA 2020->2021 shift) would offset disproportionate D engegament/a slight drop-off in R turnout (remember: no all-mail voting in FL like in CA). On the other hand, it’s hard to believe that the drop-off in R turnout would be particularly dramatic in this state given that FL one of their very few wins in 2018 and 2020.
More R states should think about implementing all-mail voting, especially MT/WV/OH, where Democrats still have a chance of winning Senate races in 2024 (although MT more so than WV/OH, obviously). This was one of Bullock's biggest own goals.
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