Gallup Daily Tracking Poll Thread

[Democratic Hawk]

Thursday 17 April, 2008

.....

Obama - 49%
Clinton - 42%

.....

Obama - 46%
McCain - 44%

Clinton - 46%
McCain - 45%

[Democratic Hawk]

Friday 18 April, 2008

.....

Obama - 47%
Clinton - 44%

.....

Clinton - 46%
McCain - 44%

Obama - 45%
McCain - 44%

[Democratic Hawk]

Saturday 19 April, 2008

.....

Clinton - 46%
Obama - 45%

.....

Clinton - 46%
McCain - 44%

Obama - 45%
McCain - 44%

[Alcon]

Clinton - 46%
Obama - 45%

Woah.

[Math]

ah ah.

[agcatter]

Mostly noise I suspect.  Nothing has happened in the last couple of days which would cause any changes to cause movement.

[Eraserhead]

Clinton - 46%
Obama - 45%

Woah.

Woah what?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

MoE movement.

[Alcon]

From +8 to -1 is MoE movement?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

From +8 to -1 is MoE movement?

If the actual numbers sit right in the middle (or if one is a 1-in-20)

[Alcon]

From +8 to -1 is MoE movement?

If the actual numbers sit right in the middle (or if one is a 1-in-20)

Fair point but doesn't Rasmussen seem to be reflecting similar things?

[Eraserhead]

If anything, he's probably taken a slight hit from the debate. I wouldn't expect it to last though.

[J. J.]

From +8 to -1 is MoE movement?

If the actual numbers sit right in the middle (or if one is a 1-in-20)

Fair point but doesn't Rasmussen seem to be reflecting similar things?

Probably a slight drop, but this good be just one very anti Obama sample.  It's too early to tell.

[Gustaf]

Generally speaking, it's extremely unlikely for a movement from +8 to -1 to be MoE. Extremely. But national polling doesn't really matter unless it goes to the convention (and even then probably only if one candidate is clearly ahead).

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Obama needs to avoid any more "debates", since they are total BS attacks on Obama.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I haven't seen any debate attacks - he was asked questions about liabilities to his campaign (which are relevant). His lackluster debate performances continue.

[Tender Branson]

Sunday - April 20, 2008

Democratic Primary:

Obama - 47%
Clinton - 45%

General Election:

Clinton vs. McCain: 46-45
Obama vs. McCain: 45-45

[J. J.]

Sunday - April 20, 2008

Democratic Primary:

Obama - 47%
Clinton - 45%

General Election:

Clinton vs. McCain: 46-45
Obama vs. McCain: 45-45

It could just be a really bad sample.  Or she could be moving.  Let me check the 'bots.

[J. J.]

Possibly some slight tightening (I just checked the 'bots), overall.  I'd say a 2-4 point race with Obama up.

[Tender Branson]

Monday - April 21, 2008

Democratic Primary:

Obama - 49%
Clinton - 42%

General Election:

Obama vs. McCain: 45-45
Clinton vs. McCain: 45-46

[Eraserhead]

Rise up!

[J. J.]

Monday - April 21, 2008

Democratic Primary:

Obama - 49%
Clinton - 42%

General Election:

Obama vs. McCain: 45-45
Clinton vs. McCain: 45-46

Probably the bad sample passed.

[Democratic Hawk]

Tuesday 22 April, 2008

.....

Obama - 50%
Clinton - 40%

.....

McCain - 45%
Obama - 45%

McCain - 46%
Clinton - 45%

[Democratic Hawk]

Only 26% Say Obama Looks Down on Americans (April 22, 2008)

All three presidential candidates are generally viewed as respectful

http://www.gallup.com/poll/106744/Only-26-Say-Obama-Looks-Down-Americans.aspx

Dave

[Alcon]

Clinton - 50%
Obama - 40%

Other way around, right?