Gallup Daily Tracking Poll Thread

[Person Man]

At this point, still noise.

It has been going on for a week. Unless, you can show me a scientific model, I would say this a pretty good indicator, unless of course, the Rassy non-sense is noise too... I mean, How can Obama be swept by ten points and still keep us up at night with North Carolina.

[Democratic Hawk]

Sunday 13 April, 2008

.....

Obama - 50%
Clinton - 41%

.....

Obama - 46%
McCain - 43%

Clinton - 46%
McCain - 45%

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

In general election head-to-heads, why does Gallup show more stability, in that polling seems consistently tight either way, than Rasmussen, which has favored McCain, in recent weeks, yet has had him leading from anywhere between 1% to 10%?

Dave

[Eraserhead]

It looks like "small town gate" is having a devastating impact.

[Wiz in Wis]

It looks like "small town gate" is having a devastating impact.

I, for one, see no way for him to recover

[Democratic Hawk]

It looks like "small town gate" is having a devastating impact.

I, for one, see no way for him to recover

Too early to tell what the political fallout is let alone whether it will be lasting but I pray for all our sakes Obama does recover from this

Dave

[Person Man]

It looks like "small town gate" is having a devastating impact.

I, for one, see no way for him to recover

Too early to tell what the political fallout is let alone whether it will be lasting but I pray for all our sakes Obama does recover from this

Dave

...if he even will need to...

[Gustaf]

Sunday 13 April, 2008

.....

Obama - 50%
Clinton - 41%

.....

Obama - 46%
McCain - 43%

Clinton - 46%
McCain - 45%

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

In general election head-to-heads, why does Gallup show more stability, in that polling seems consistently tight either way, than Rasmussen, which has favored McCain, in recent weeks, yet has had him leading from anywhere between 1% to 10%?

Dave

Rasmussen is polling likely voters and that means more volatility early in the election cycle. That's probably one reason.

[Person Man]

Could it also be changes in communication and demography that they are not picking up?

[Democratic Hawk]

Sunday 13 April, 2008

.....

Obama - 50%
Clinton - 41%

.....

Obama - 46%
McCain - 43%

Clinton - 46%
McCain - 45%

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

In general election head-to-heads, why does Gallup show more stability, in that polling seems consistently tight either way, than Rasmussen, which has favored McCain, in recent weeks, yet has had him leading from anywhere between 1% to 10%?

Dave

Rasmussen is polling likely voters and that means more volatility early in the election cycle. That's probably one reason.

Thanks

[Wiz in Wis]

Monday 14 April, 2008

.....

Obama - 50%
Clinton - 40%

.....

Obama - 46%
McCain - 44%

Clinton - 46%
McCain - 45%

PRINCETON, NJ -- Barack Obama, who has come under attack by his presidential rivals for describing small-town voters as "bitter," seems to be weathering the storm to this point as far as voters are concerned. He maintains a 10 percentage point lead over Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination, 50% to 40%, according to the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking.

[Eraserhead]

I kind of expected this would have absolutely no impact.

[Joe Republic]

I kind of expected this would have absolutely no impact.

That's a slightly premature reaction, to say the least.

[Democratic Hawk]

I kind of expected this would have absolutely no impact.

It might be wise not to tempt fate. In tracking polls, it could take a few days to filter through. As with Wright, it's looking like it's going to be milked for a while yet

Dave

[Eraserhead]

I kind of expected this would have absolutely no impact.

That's a slightly premature reaction, to say the least.

Eh... I guess.

[Gustaf]

I kind of expected this would have absolutely no impact.

That's a slightly premature reaction, to say the least.

Eh... I guess.

It's almost standard when a scandal occurrs for the first polls coming out afterwards showing no effect and people will go "oh, it didn't really matter" and then you start seeing the effect after a while. Mind you, not saying it will be like that this time, but it is a bit early yet. There is also the "sustained hit" thing that Vorlon used to talk about...

[Tender Branson]

Tuesday - April 15, 2008

Democratic Primary:

Obama - 51%
Clinton - 40%

General Election:

Obama vs. McCain: 46-44
Clinton vs. McCain: 46-44

[Wiz in Wis]

More fallout please

[Eraserhead]

I'm enjoying Obama's "bittergate" bump. I guess people are finally getting tired of MSM insulting their intelligence.

[J. J.]

Could someone sticky the tracking polls?

[Person Man]

I'm enjoying Obama's "bittergate" bump. I guess people are finally getting tired of MSM insulting their intelligence.

No sh**t.

[Eraserhead]

Obama Support Among "Bitter" Voters Unchanged" (April 16, 2008)

No decline in support among low-income, low-education, religious Democrats

http://www.gallup.com/poll/106561/Obama-Support-Among-Bitter-Voters-Unchanged.aspx

Dave

lol. haha!

Sorry, had to get my hack on for a second there.

[Democratic Hawk]

Obama Support Among "Bitter" Voters Unchanged" (April 16, 2008)

No decline in support among low-income, low-education, religious Democrats

http://www.gallup.com/poll/106561/Obama-Support-Among-Bitter-Voters-Unchanged.aspx

Dave

[Democratic Hawk]

Democrats leading McCain in "Purple" States (April 17, 2008)

Hold 47% to 43% leads in states decided by five points or less in 2004

http://www.gallup.com/poll/106579/Democrats-Leading-McCain-Purple-States.aspx

Dave

[Eraserhead]

Democrats leading McCain in "Purple" States (April 17, 2008)

Hold 47% to 43% leads in states decided by five points or less in 2004

http://www.gallup.com/poll/106579/Democrats-Leading-McCain-Purple-States.aspx

Dave

I wish they just gave us polls from each state.

Actually, then again knowing Gallup, maybe not.

[Democratic Hawk]

Wednesday 16 April, 2008

.....

Obama - 50%
Clinton - 42%

.....

Obama - 46%
McCain - 43%

Clinton - 46%
McCain - 44%