It's right there, folks. Republican Cubans are swinging to Clinton.
So....You make fun of the A- WMUR poll, but the C- Opinion Savvy poll must be right....right?
I don't care what dopey hack Nate Silver has to say about pollsters and their quality. I've got far too much experience to be swayed by whatever nonsense models he is coming up with to get clicks.
You sound like a Romney 2012 supporter....
How? All he did was average polls in 2012. Now he's playing around with unskewing them and other nonsense and assigning house effects based on almost nothing. He's clearly jumped the shark. I've moved onto Nate Cohn who clearly has a clue.
Romney 2012 supporters (including myself, hate to admit) dismissed Silver in 2012 for showing an "unrealistic" outcome and thought the race was much closer, in this case I assume you think Clinton leads by a lot more than 538 does