New Cook Gov Rankings

[wesmoorenerd]

Georgia and Wisconsin are the real headscratchers

Apparently they're waiting until the GOP primary runoff ends to change their rating, which is ridiculous to me. The winner of the primary wouldn't change the race enough that they'd need to wait 40 days to get it out of Solid R.

That's hilarious, Cagle and Kemp are both awful candidates in their own unique ways. Cagle has just about as many scandals brewing as Silvio Berlusconi and Kemp is about as palatable to Atlanta as Cam Newton.

[wesmoorenerd]

Old news, but Cook moved SC from Solid to Likely, despite still having GA and OK as Solid. GA especially is crazy because that race is Lean R at most. They say they're waiting until the runoff to move it but both candidates suck so I don't see why.

[wesmoorenerd]

BUT BUT BUT MUH 50+1 AND MUH RACIST SOUTHERNERS AND CAGLE'S MODERATE APPEAL AND OSSOFF LOSING GA-06 AND INFLEXIBLE VOTERS

[wesmoorenerd]

Cook also thinks Tina Smith and Sherrod Brown are more likely to lose than Jon Tester, so yeah...

Of course an untested Senator like Tina Smith running in the deep R state of Minnesota is more likely to lose than Titanium Tester (who's up against weak sauce Rosendale), duh.

Cook's Senate ratings aren't that awful though. Montana should be Lean D, Minnesota/Ohio should be Likely D, and you could make an argument for moving Nevada/Arizona/WV to Lean D as well, but everything else is alright.