Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)

[Maxwell]

For the record, maybe I am from a particularly eldery suburb in Tulsa, but my god the turnout was large AND very old. I'm not sure what that means... probably good for TRUMP.

[Alcon]

Fox News, "dissatisfied if Trump wins the nomination":

Arkansas 50%
Georgia 46%
Tennessee 41%
Virginia 52%

The number was 46% in South Carolina; not asked in New Hampshire.

[This account no longer in use.]

Chuck Todd saying that there's a Republican incumbent running for reelection in 2016 who might endorse Clinton over Trump. My guess: It's probably Mark Kirk.

Richard Burr did say he'd vote for Sanders over Cruz. I could see a lot of potential crossover this year.

[yankeesfan]

Rubio is apparently not expecting to win any states tonight.  He will use his speech tonight to attack Donald Trump.

[Bigby]

Rubio is apparently not expecting to win any states tonight.

Don't you know that losing is the new winning?

[The Other Castro]

Rubio is apparently not expecting to win any states tonight.  He will use his speech tonight to attack Donald Trump.

Where do you see he doesn't expect to win anywhere?

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Since when was shadow abyss pro trump?

Since quite recently. He's a new recruit to the TRUMP TRAIN.

Sell out

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Is everyone ready for the sh** show to begin?

[This account no longer in use.]

Since when was shadow abyss pro trump?

Since quite recently. He's a new recruit to the TRUMP TRAIN.

Sell out

By November, you'll have your own cabin on the train, too.

[yankeesfan]

Rubio is apparently not expecting to win any states tonight.  He will use his speech tonight to attack Donald Trump.

Where do you see he doesn't expect to win anywhere?

On CNN, there was a report from his campaign HQ

[cinyc]

How many voters are asked these questions in the polls? I never get asked these questions after I vote.

Because you probably don't live in one of the handful of swing precincts hand chosen by Edison Research or whomever is conducting the network exit poll.  Decision Desk HQ had no idea in which precincts the network exit polls would be polling, but ended up picking some of the same precincts when they conducted their New Hampshire exit poll.

[Bigby]

How many voters are asked these questions in the polls? I never get asked these questions after I vote.

Because you probably don't live in one of the handful of swing precincts hand chosen by Edison Research or whomever is conducting the network exit poll.  Decision Desk HQ had no idea in which precincts the network exit polls would be polling, but ended up picking some of the same precincts when they conducted their New Hampshire exit poll.

What value do exit polls even have, then?

[Senator Cris]

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

How many voters are asked these questions in the polls? I never get asked these questions after I vote.

Because you probably don't live in one of the handful of swing precincts hand chosen by Edison Research or whomever is conducting the network exit poll.  Decision Desk HQ had no idea in which precincts the network exit polls would be polling, but ended up picking some of the same precincts when they conducted their New Hampshire exit poll.

What value do exit polls even have, then?

They mostly  target swing precincts that have a strong history of matching the results of the state well.

[cinyc]

How many voters are asked these questions in the polls? I never get asked these questions after I vote.

Because you probably don't live in one of the handful of swing precincts hand chosen by Edison Research or whomever is conducting the network exit poll.  Decision Desk HQ had no idea in which precincts the network exit polls would be polling, but ended up picking some of the same precincts when they conducted their New Hampshire exit poll.

What value do exit polls even have, then?

Very good value.  They tend to pick representative bellwether precincts to poll (although I suspect they also poll some others, too).  The bellwether precincts are usually fairly good predictors of the actual result, at least in primaries.

[The Other Castro]

Joe Scarborough ✔ ‎@JoeNBC
TEAM MARCO privately predicting wins in Minnesota, Virginia and Oklahoma. TEAM CRUZ expecting a stronger than expected night. #SuperTuesday
6:16 PM - 1 Mar 2016

[Maxwell]

That tends to look like what other polls have shown - last minute voters go for Rubio because Trump is, well, Trump. Trump voters decided they would go for him a long long time ago.

Maybe I haven't paid attention to Kasich's numbers, but that seems high for him. That translates to already around 4% of the vote.

[Bigby]

That tends to look like what other polls have shown - last minute voters go for Rubio because Trump is, well, Trump. Trump voters decided they would go for him a long long time ago.

How likely does that make a Rubio win in VA?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

That tends to look like what other polls have shown - last minute voters go for Rubio because Trump is, well, Trump. Trump voters decided they would go for him a long long time ago.

How likely does that make a Rubio win in VA?

Eh....probably not likely? Rubio needs to dominate NOVA

[EliteLX]

My aunt picked me up from practice tonight and I asked her if she voted and she said no and then said that she didn't know who to vote for and after some persuading, we are heading to her precient and she's voting for Cruz.

Hope your car crashes

I have a feeling your nonexistent morals are strictly in step with your communist political identity.

[Mehmentum]

Joe Scarborough ✔ ‎@JoeNBC
TEAM MARCO privately predicting wins in Minnesota, Virginia and Oklahoma. TEAM CRUZ expecting a stronger than expected night. #SuperTuesday
6:16 PM - 1 Mar 2016

Lol okay.

[Bigby]

Joe Scarborough ✔ ‎@JoeNBC
TEAM MARCO privately predicting wins in Minnesota, Virginia and Oklahoma. TEAM CRUZ expecting a stronger than expected night. #SuperTuesday
6:16 PM - 1 Mar 2016

Lol okay.

That means he knows that he is delusional.

[Skye]

Joe Scarborough ✔ ‎@JoeNBC
TEAM MARCO privately predicting wins in Minnesota, Virginia and Oklahoma. TEAM CRUZ expecting a stronger than expected night. #SuperTuesday
6:16 PM - 1 Mar 2016

Huh? Losing Virginia would be a big blow to Trump.

[OkThen]

https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/704808863162183680

[Maxwell]

That tends to look like what other polls have shown - last minute voters go for Rubio because Trump is, well, Trump. Trump voters decided they would go for him a long long time ago.

How likely does that make a Rubio win in VA?

Not very - Probably a single digit victory for TRUMP. I could be wrong though.