Safe R. Weird how this somehow became less competitive than SC and SD.
Lee will probably carry Blackburn across the finish line, just like Abbott will probably carry Cruz across the finish line in Texas.
Not really how it works. Senate races tend to provide coattails for gubernatorial races, not the other way around.
I dispute this point here. Abbott and Lee are both polling far ahead of Cruz and Blackburn. Are you saying that they will have no effect whatsoever on the Senate races in those states? In 2006, for example, in Tennessee, Phil Bredesen far outperformed Harold Ford, Jr, and Ford came very close to winning that year. Arguably, it could be said that he may not have done as well if Bredesen had won by a smaller margin.
I'm not saying they'll have no effect whatsoever, but if any effect happens to occur, it'll be minor. It's not like Larry Hogan or Charlie Baker's performance will improve Tony Campbell or Geoff Diehl's performance. Ford came close to winning because he was a strong candidate running for an open seat in a wave year. If Bredesen hadn't been the governor, Ford probably would've done worse, but it would've been a minor difference, barely perceptible.
