IA-Bloomberg/DMR/Selzer: Cruz 25% Trump 22% Rubio 12% Carson 11% Paul 5% Bush 4% (user search)
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  IA-Bloomberg/DMR/Selzer: Cruz 25% Trump 22% Rubio 12% Carson 11% Paul 5% Bush 4% (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-Bloomberg/DMR/Selzer: Cruz 25% Trump 22% Rubio 12% Carson 11% Paul 5% Bush 4%  (Read 3911 times)
weixiaobao
Jr. Member
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Posts: 711
« on: January 13, 2016, 01:26:24 PM »

Are they overpolled old Romney supporters? and underpolled former Paul supporters?  I cut out the ones that didn't attended the caucus.

100-22-7-9=62

The 7 and 9 here seemed to be trolling. Or that they did attend but wasn't illegible to vote or something.

Most of Ron Paul voters probably around this cycle. But many voters probably had died off (due to the average age of the caucus goers) and there are new voters coming in.  The only explanation is that Ron Paul supporters were temporary students of the state or something and no longer here this cycle.

Romney 31/62*100=50%
Santorum 14/62*100=22.58%
Ron Paul 5/62*100=8.06%


2016 Rep CGs who
have attended a Rep
caucus in the past
n=336
±5.4% pts
22 No, did not attend 2012 Republican caucus
31 Yes, supported Mitt Romney
14 Yes, supported Rick Santorum
5 Yes, supported Ron Paul
3 Yes, supported Newt Gingrich
4 Yes, supported Rick Perry
2 Yes, supported Michele Bachmann
2 Yes, supported someone else
7 Yes, not sure of support
9 Not sure whether attended
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