It's possible, but very, very, very unlikely, this seat has all of Buncombe County in it, while the old seat, cut up Buncombe, partly to draw out then-Representative Heath Shuler (D). This iteration of the seat is actually 10 points to the left of the old version, it's still Trump+17, but given we've seen polls with Biden winning by 10-15, and the fact that Cawthorne seems quite weak, this could be a perfect storm. But Davis is quite a weak candidate, so honestly I'd say this is Safe R, because you need a perfect storm and then some to flip it, but it's not out of the realm of possibilities, and the DCCC/House Majority PAC have far, far better targets this year anyways, including 3-4 in NC (NC-02, NC-06, and NC-08, and maybe NC-09). But, yeah this is probably a bridge too far, but it could be close-ish, the best way to say this is Safe R, much. much closer to Likely than Titanium/Tungsten.
