ME-PAR: Biden +10, +4 in ME-02

[NOVA Green]

As I have stated multiple times elsewhere on Atlas / Talk Elections, ME-02 is a prime Trump > Biden flip with White Working Class Catholic voters, many of whom are heavily French / French-Canadian Ancestry swinging hard back to the DEMs on Bread and Butter economic issues, where Trump's failed attempt at a trade war with Canada from pulp & paper industry, to fishing wars has failed to deliver on his populist economic policies, and additionally and perhaps even more importantly severed traditional cross-border movements between the US & Canada as a direct result of his failed response to the COVID-19 Pandemic.

We are talking about a part of the country where we got folks split on both sides of the border and deep knitted roots where on the Canadian side you have an active independence movement because of the historical pattern of racism against the French-Canadian population under the rule of the English Crown, and on the Southern Side of the border lingering resentment against treatment from Yankee WASPs who have historically dominated Maine politics.

"Catholic Joe" is a good fit for ME-02 and his infrastructure policy positions alone, as well as his support for expanding affordable medical care should appeal to a place where 41% of the total population is over the age of 50 Years.