If Oklahoma was an open primary...
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  If Oklahoma was an open primary...
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ElectionsGuy
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« on: March 04, 2016, 11:52:05 PM »

How would results have differed? I think the results were dramatically impacted by this, actually. In counties with traditionally high registration that have defected heavily to Republicans in general elections recently, there was high percentages for O'Malley, Locke, Judd, and other no-namers. A lot of this no doubt was protest voting, along with Sanders support from these people as the anti-Clinton candidate (if you think about this, its honestly stunning how different this is from decades past). I think turnout would've been about 1/3 lower and 1/3 higher for the Democratic and Republican parties, respectively. I would guess that Clinton would get a narrow victory while Trump would narrowly defeat Cruz (due to these disaffected conservaDems being heavily persuaded by Trump). What do you think?
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Hydera
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« Reply #1 on: March 05, 2016, 12:03:37 AM »
« Edited: March 05, 2016, 12:16:22 AM by ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°) »

Repost.

Trump won the areas that voted for Reagan in '84, and then Dukakis back in '88. Who after 2000 become very strongly GOP in the general election.

AKA: the reagan democrats/blue collar whites






If it was an open primary then those conservative democrat voters who  never bothered to change registration and liked trump's stance on muslims and immigration, and his economic stances on trade. would of allowed trump to win that state by 5-7% and Sanders still wins the state by a 3% margin instead of 10%.


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Intell
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« Reply #2 on: March 05, 2016, 12:17:18 AM »

Reagan Democrats literally have no relevance to politics these day, as they have already gone extinct, or been standard conservative Republicans. He's support is centered in little dixie and previous democratic areas, or right-wing blue collar voters. His support is strongest in where Obama had the biggest swing away from him, as well as from conservative dixiecrats. These voters, are not necessarily Regan-esque, free-market, capitalist conservative, but conservative in the sense of law and order (Nixonian), as well as cultural conservatism, as the concept of Americana, and religious, Catholic or Protestant as a way of tradition, rather than actually Trump's supporters being that religious. This is the case in Oklahoma, and the south, in where Dixiecrat, former democrats, McCain Democrats are voting for Trump, as well as Irish-Americans in the NE and NYC or more conservative but still at least in name, democratic Catholics, that are being apealled by TRUMP and republicans for the first time.
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