Virginia Governor's Race 2013 -Who's Gonna Win?

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

The only real question is how much of Sarvis' poll support comes from people who don't like either McAuliffe or Cuccinelli but still intend to vote for one of those two when their vote counts.  I suspect at least half, as usual for a libertarian, so I have McAuliffe ≥50% in my prediction.