The 150th Edition of College Football - Discussion and Pick 'Em Thread

[Terry the Fat Shark]

I will never understand the Pac 12....

[DINGO Joe]

It's the third straight year that Maryland has managed to beat a ranked team to start the season and then proceed to plunge into the abyss,

[Donerail]

Now that Maryland has figured out how to beat cupcake teams like Howard and Texas, they just need to step it up against their tougher out-of-conference opponents from the Big Ten

[GeorgiaModerate]

I will never understand the Pac 12....

Somebody here said the other day that the best method for picking Pac-12 games was to determine who you thought should win, then pick the other team.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

I will never understand the Pac 12....

I mean, Arizona State was already ranked higher before the game in just about every ranking system, and Cal was completely unable to operate without their QB. Pretty straightforward. The reason I picked Cal was because they were home which made them a field goal favourite rather than a field goal underdog in a game expected to be a defensive struggle. Think they could have fulfilled that with Garbers in the second half, but I was impressed with how Arizona State's speed exposed the Cal defense, and even more impressed with the escapability in the power running game. Cal does not usually miss those tackles.

Glad my only bet was the Under, but that was entirely luck with how that game was going.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

It doesn't matter how bad Arkansas is, TAMU always struggles with them lol

[GeorgiaModerate]

It doesn't matter how bad Arkansas is, TAMU always struggles with them lol

Everybody picked Texas A&M.

(Also Oklahoma, Wisconsin, Michigan, Clemson, Alabama, Michigan State, and Auburn.)

[Terry the Fat Shark]

TAMU escapes....barely

[Terry the Fat Shark]

For one beautiful moment, we had this!

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Ole miss leads 10-7 now

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ole miss leads 10-7 now

I'm not getting my hopes yet but that would be beautiful if it holds up.

[GeorgiaModerate]

UNC now leads Clemson 14-7.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

I know Vandy won today, but we looked awful and have looked awful all season.  It was also the worst crowd I've seen for a Vandy home game, even during some rough years.  Factoring this all in, I think it's time for us to move on from Derek Mason.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Amazing catch by the UNC receiver just short of the goal line.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Amazing catch by the UNC receiver just short of the goal line.

Followed up by a TD and stupid two point convert call.

[Dereich]

Well folks UNC is our only hope to defeat Clemson, prepare your energy for the inevitable!

This was a prescient post. I don’t blame them for going for two either! With Clemson’s depth the longer the game goes the worse for UNC.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Amazing catch by the UNC receiver just short of the goal line.

Followed up by a TD and stupid two point convert call.

I like the two-point call there.  Let's say the PAT conversion rate is about 95% and the 2-point conversion rate is X.  Let's assume that if you go to OT, you have a 50% of winning (although against a much higher rated team, it could be assumed to be even less).

If you kick, you have a 95% x 50% = 47.5% chance of winning.  With a two-point conversion, you have an X chance of winning.  (This ignores the fact that in cases like this the other team has some time left to win, but that occurs in either case so I don't think it affects the overall calculation).

So if you think your chance of converting the 2-pointer (X) is greater than 47.5%, you should go for it.  I can't find stats for college football, but in the NFL the 2-point success rate is about 60%.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Georgia Tech lost to Temple 24-2.  Is there a worse P5 team than Tech?

[Terry the Fat Shark]

When Baylor wins....we all lose

[GeorgiaModerate]

When Baylor wins....we all lose

Well, not all of us.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Amazing catch by the UNC receiver just short of the goal line.

Followed up by a TD and stupid two point convert call.

I like the two-point call there.  Let's say the PAT conversion rate is about 95% and the 2-point conversion rate is X.  Let's assume that if you go to OT, you have a 50% of winning (although against a much higher rated team, it could be assumed to be even less).

If you kick, you have a 95% x 50% = 47.5% chance of winning.  With a two-point conversion, you have an X chance of winning.  (This ignores the fact that in cases like this the other team has some time left to win, but that occurs in either case so I don't think it affects the overall calculation).

So if you think your chance of converting the 2-pointer (X) is greater than 47.5%, you should go for it.  I can't find stats for college football, but in the NFL the 2-point success rate is about 60%.

I'm very pro-go for 2 in many in-game situations (and I didn't hate the call), but I prefer to only go for the win under about 45 seconds because Clemson would have had to be aggressive down 22-21, but could have played for OT if they fell behind the chains at 21-21.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Sjoyce is 15 out of 16 so far today; he's only missed Montana over UC Davis.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Well folks UNC is our only hope to defeat Clemson, prepare your energy for the inevitable!

This was a prescient post. I don’t blame them for going for two either! With Clemson’s depth the longer the game goes the worse for UNC.

We have a new hope! Wake forest is 5-0!

[Terry the Fat Shark]

This FSU-NC State game is.....interesting

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Auburn looks incredible tonight.  SEC homer me is trying to argue that the playoff should be only SEC teams this year.