Democratic New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET) (user search)
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Author Topic: Democratic New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)  (Read 26008 times)
Gass3268
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« on: April 19, 2016, 01:26:11 PM »

Thinking it over, I'd be more okay with New York's closed primary if they handled it differently. There just seems to be way to many restrictions and impediments than just requiring folks to be registered.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: April 19, 2016, 03:18:34 PM »

It's making sure your voters who haven't voted yet show up.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: April 19, 2016, 03:45:15 PM »

I wonder if DDHQ is gonna call it for Sanders when the polls close LOOOOOL

It's possible every media outlet will.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: April 19, 2016, 03:51:18 PM »

I wonder if DDHQ is gonna call it for Sanders when the polls close LOOOOOL

It's possible every media outlet will.
Define 'possible'.  A Sanders victory would be a huge surprise, but still within the realm of possibility.  A Sanders victory so large that it gets called the moment polls close is not.

It would have to be a double digit win, and a large one at that considering the networks would be very hesitant to make a such a surprising call until at least some results come in.

Haha, I read that as "I wonder if DDHQ is gonna call it for Clinton when the polls close LOOOOOL."
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: April 19, 2016, 04:17:51 PM »

64% of Democratic Voters think Wall Street hurts the U.S. economy.

68% of Democratic Voters think the Campaign has energized the party.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: April 19, 2016, 04:47:52 PM »

MSNBC made that note that the first round of exit polls were almost exclusively from New York City.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: April 19, 2016, 05:27:42 PM »


Sanders usually wins this by a lot more, right?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: April 19, 2016, 05:36:47 PM »



This is an odd number.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: April 19, 2016, 05:42:31 PM »

Considering these results are almost exclusively NYC, I'm actually thinking these results are pretty bad for Clinton. (standard warnings about early exits apply)

We know it's NYC?

That's what Chuck Todd and Steve Kornacki said about the first round, but that was at 5pm.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: April 19, 2016, 06:03:34 PM »

@ryangrim says 54-46 Clinton in exits

He's a HuffPost reporter that's posted some pretty accurate leaked exits in the past few contests

I dont know, his Wisconsin top line leak was way off.

He had:
Sanders 53 (actual 56)
Clinton 46 (43)

Cruz 47 (48)
Trump 35 (35)
Kasich 15 (14)

Not way off at all.  I think these leaks are the actual exit poll top-lines


Nice!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: April 19, 2016, 06:33:41 PM »

That actually isn't too shabby for Sanders, he kept her below 10 points in her homestate.

If that's the actual result, sure. Big if.

No, this is a big If
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11 on: April 19, 2016, 07:09:29 PM »

r/SandersForPresident is in full teenager-who's-just-been-broken-up-with-for-the-first-time mode.

Haha, that bad?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: April 19, 2016, 07:15:10 PM »

Anyone notice the countdown on MSNBC? It's showing we still have an hour and forty five minutes or so until polls close, did something change?

No it's at 45 minutes now.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #13 on: April 19, 2016, 07:25:50 PM »

For God's sake... why is Sanders moving on to PA already?

He hasn't stayed in the same state since Super Tuesday when he was in Vermont.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: April 19, 2016, 07:32:11 PM »

benchmark politics thinks final tally will be 57/43 clinton

Is that based on actual exit poll information?

It's their number based on their demographic projections, mixed with exit poll information.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #15 on: April 19, 2016, 07:43:53 PM »

Drudge is reporting 54-46 Clinton. Take that as you will.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #16 on: April 19, 2016, 07:48:22 PM »

Sounds like some of the voting complaints by Sanders supporters are legit.

Bill de Blasio Calls for Audit of Elections Board Amid Widespread Voting Problems in NYC
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Gass3268
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« Reply #17 on: April 19, 2016, 07:49:02 PM »

I don't know why we're taking Drudge seriously, on both sides.

It's the Atlas and we love data points.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #18 on: April 19, 2016, 08:02:19 PM »

I think I calculated this right:

Clinton - 51.96
Sanders - 47.62

OMG!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #19 on: April 19, 2016, 08:02:48 PM »

Quote
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Gass3268
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« Reply #20 on: April 19, 2016, 08:34:06 PM »

Looks like Sanders is actually winning some of the Jewish areas in Brooklyn, unless I'm reading the map wrong.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #21 on: April 19, 2016, 08:44:39 PM »

Congrats to our forum Clinton supporters!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #22 on: April 19, 2016, 08:53:31 PM »

Looking at Buffalo and Rochester... I'd almost say Sanders is under-performing.

I wasn't expecting him to win either area. There are substantial minority areas in both cities. 
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Gass3268
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« Reply #23 on: April 19, 2016, 08:57:46 PM »

And Bernie said he was going to win NY...

This is Ohio all over again...

Exits updated - suggesting about 56% for Clinton. Still not sure given that I do think Sanders is under-performing upstate...  

Yet over-performing in Western New York.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #24 on: April 19, 2016, 09:05:22 PM »

I was wrong about those Jewish Brooklyn areas, lol!

It's funny, Sanders is doing better than I thought he would upstate but worse in NYC. So net Clinton!
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