So we agree that Trump's presidencies has begun like past disasterous but it doesn't neccesarily follow or even predictable that he will be disaster.
Absolutely. A deeper look at the 1932 election, for example, shows that even Hoover's defeat was far from inevitable. Some historians believe as do I that had the Democrats nominated another fiscal conservative in 1932, Hoover may well have won another term.
Nothing is preordained.
This is quite hilarious considering that this was essentially what FDR campgained as in 1932.
Believe it or not, Roosevelt was the most progressive option even in 1932 and was recognized as such at the time. Other choices for the nomination included a banker, a businessman, and a corporate attorney, along with the conservative Al Smith, the conservative Texan John Nance Garner, and the conservative Maryland governor Albert Ritchey.
Roosevelt promised balanced budgets during the campaign, yes, but what people remembered- what made him stand out- what won him the election- was his promise of a "New Deal" and the acknowledgment that bad things can happen to good people. This message resonated with people who were tired of Hoover saying the real problem was that Americans weren't working hard enough.
In an alternate timeline where the Democrats
actually ran a conservative campaign, I could see Hoover squeaking into another term with Socialists, Commies et al. getting over 10 percent of the vote.