Ohio in 2016

[Devils30]

While some will still see it as Americas ultimate swing state, I see Ohio as Hillary's 320th-350th electoral vote rather than a crucial state. For one I think Virginia and Florida are likely to go Dem ahead of Ohio next time around (unless jeb is the nominee and hillary still leads him in FL anyway). Ohio might be more on par with North Carolina as far as PVI goes and I expect R +1-2. Florida only needs a 3% democratic trend to become a tipping point and judging by Hillary's polls it's fairly plausible.

[Devils30]

I just think demographics will soon (if not in 2016) push Florida ahead of Ohio for Democrats. Virginia has already passed it along with Colorado. By 2020 or 2024 North Carolina probably will be bluer than Ohio as well. Georgia could be won by Hillary but it won't be anything closer than her 365th electoral vote.

[Devils30]

Doubt she'd lose Colorado in a landslide win. She might win 54% nationally and get 51-52% in Colorado but with Presidential turnout she should win it. Not sure the GOP is winning everything there, Hickenlooper might survive and they might only win one legislative house.