FDR vs. Herbert Hoover 1928 (user search)
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  FDR vs. Herbert Hoover 1928 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FDR vs. Herbert Hoover 1928  (Read 1252 times)
#CriminalizeSobriety
Dallasfan65
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,859


Political Matrix
E: 5.48, S: -9.65

« on: April 28, 2010, 09:07:55 PM »



405-126

FDR does much better then Smith in the southern states due to his protestant religion, but loses overwhelmingly in Catholic Massachusetts and Rhode Island, which were both won by Smith by one percent. So, it ends up still being a Hoover landslide in the Republican Twenties.

Since FDR is from NY, I was thinking he might win there. Smith was from there and he only lsot the state by 2%. Since FDR was more charismatic than Smith, he might have pulled off a win in NY.

I doubt it. Political charisma meant far less in 1928 then it does now. Plus, with Smith off the ticket, Catholics in New York would be more receptive to the Republican Party, which also would have assisted them.

FDR actually came reasonably close to losing New York several times OTL.
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#CriminalizeSobriety
Dallasfan65
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,859


Political Matrix
E: 5.48, S: -9.65

« Reply #1 on: April 28, 2010, 09:19:33 PM »



405-126

FDR does much better then Smith in the southern states due to his protestant religion, but loses overwhelmingly in Catholic Massachusetts and Rhode Island, which were both won by Smith by one percent. So, it ends up still being a Hoover landslide in the Republican Twenties.

Since FDR is from NY, I was thinking he might win there. Smith was from there and he only lsot the state by 2%. Since FDR was more charismatic than Smith, he might have pulled off a win in NY.

I doubt it. Political charisma meant far less in 1928 then it does now. Plus, with Smith off the ticket, Catholics in New York would be more receptive to the Republican Party, which also would have assisted them.

FDR actually came reasonably close to losing New York several times OTL.

Yeah in 1940 FDR won New York by only 224,440 votes.....against Wendell Willkie.
Off from his national average, and only 3 or 4 percentage points.
Logged
#CriminalizeSobriety
Dallasfan65
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,859


Political Matrix
E: 5.48, S: -9.65

« Reply #2 on: April 28, 2010, 11:48:55 PM »



405-126

FDR does much better then Smith in the southern states due to his protestant religion, but loses overwhelmingly in Catholic Massachusetts and Rhode Island, which were both won by Smith by one percent. So, it ends up still being a Hoover landslide in the Republican Twenties.

Since FDR is from NY, I was thinking he might win there. Smith was from there and he only lsot the state by 2%. Since FDR was more charismatic than Smith, he might have pulled off a win in NY.

I doubt it. Political charisma meant far less in 1928 then it does now. Plus, with Smith off the ticket, Catholics in New York would be more receptive to the Republican Party, which also would have assisted them.

FDR actually came reasonably close to losing New York several times OTL.

Yeah in 1940 FDR won New York by only 224,440 votes.....against Wendell Willkie.
Off from his national average, and only 3 or 4 percentage points.

Yeah, but Wilkie was also from NY. Hoover was not.

Yes, but Willkie never actually held state-wide elected office from NY.

I doubt I myself would crack 30% in Massachusetts, were I to be in an election.

John Edwards was from South Carolina, but won a single precinct in the primary.

Michelle Bachmann is from Minnesota, but I don't think that would pull it towards the GOP.
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