Who will win the Senate control in November?

[tmthforu94]

To this point, the GOP has avoided nominating terrible candidates and across the board, we have a pretty strong slate. Despite early troubles, our only vulnerable seats (KY and GA) are looking much better than they were a few months ago. South Dakota, West Virginia, and Montana are almost certain to flip in 2014, putting us at 48 seats. I am optimistic about Louisiana as it looks doubtful Landreiu can break 50%, and I highly doubt she can win a run-off unless the GOP has already won a majority. Cotton should be able to ultimately defeat Pryor and Tillis is leading Hagan - that right there puts us at 51 seats. Additionally, it looks like Alaska could go either way and we have made a race of it in both Iowa and Colorado, two states that weren't on very many people's radar a few months ago. Michigan also isn't entirely out of reach.

If I were to guess, the Republicans pick up 7 seats in November (SD,MT,WV,LA,AR,NC,AK), giving them 52 seats. Tempted to add Colorado, but want to see more polling first.