A Democratic lock on the White House?

[Vepres]

They have an inherent advantage right now, but a lock? No.

Much can change. Something could happen (don't ask me what, I don't know) that could drive Hispanics to the GOP in high numbers for whatever reason. Imagine, California being competitive, and the rest of the southwest being strong GOP. Or, what if young voters suddenly vote like Gen Xers for whatever reason? Then Republicans have the inherent advantage.

I can easily seeing a Republican being relatively strong in New England. I can't see any current high profile Republicans being so, but that would change the whole game. Very similarly to Clinton being strong in the "border South" changed the whole dynamics of the '92 election as opposed to '84 and '88.

[Vepres]

I should add that reapportionment should give the GOP a little help in the short term at least. For example, under the estimated EV apportionment, Kerry could have won Ohio and still lost.