Edwards v. Rudy 2008-who wins New York?

[© tweed]

I think Edwards would win it with 50-55% of the vote...if you must I will explain why.

[© tweed]

Here's why Edwards would win:

1. The city/Long Island:  Rudy probably takes Suffolk and Nassau by comfortable margins, but he runs into trouble in the city.  He is NOT a friend of the black man, they hate him.  Edwards probably takes 60-65% in the city, which is less than usual for a Dem, but still is a wide margin.

2. Upstate: Upstate NY is more conservative/populist, more working class.  Edwards did well upstate in the 03/02/04 primary, and would likely appeal to the rural NY'er.

In total: Edwards with about 55%

[© tweed]

Here is my prediction:



Rudy 324
Edwards 214

[© tweed]

A Presidential election is different than a mayoral election...he would do well in the city but not nearly as many people would cross party lines.

[© tweed]

Texas?!

Texas!