Hello all, and welcome to the second part of Mew Research Center's analysis of our Amazing Super-Awesome Exit Poll.
To start things off, here's a simple chart: how people who voted for one of the "other" candidates in the first round of the presidential race voted in the second:
Overall, people who voted for "other" candidates in the first round went to Marokai 56%-44%. This chart isn't all that interesting. Here's a slightly more interesting one, a comparison of how voters voted in the presidential election and the at-large senatorial election:
The results of this are still nothing surpising. Here's the same thing for the second round of the at-large senate election:
The voters for right-leaning candidates and Scott, the liberal, went strongly for Napoleon. The voters for left-leaning candidates outnumbered them, but they were much less united behind Griffin and a significant minority of Marokai's and Kalwejt's supporters voted for Napoleon.
The left-right split in the senate race really becomes clear when you break it down by presidential second preference:
Marokai's voters went for Griffin and then Fezzy, while Cathcon's voters went for Goldwater and then Napoleon. Again, although Marokai voters are the vast majority, Napoleon was able to get a decent amount of support from them while Griffin and Fezzy got none from Cathcon's voters.
The same thing shows in the second round:
Marokai's voters went about 2-1 for Griffin over Napoleon, but among Cathcon voters Napoleon won by a more than 60 point margin.
To further demonstrate this, it helps to flip things around and compare senate votes to presidential ones. Here is how voters for each Senate candidate broke down in the second round of the Presidential election:
There's a huge polarization here: Griffin and Fezzy voters went 100% for Marokai while Goldwater voters went almost 100% for Cathcon. Napoleon is the only one with any kind of crossover support. But it is very interesting that although Napoleon is generally considered center-left, his voters went 2-1 for the center-right candidate in the Presidential election. Bear in mind these are first round voters only, so this excludes federalists who first-preferenced Goldwater and second-preferenced Napoleon.
To wrap this set up, here's one final chart, showing how voter's second-round senate vote compared to their second-round presidential vote:
This chart shows the same trends I mentioned above.
This was a lot of charts to throw at you, but combined they all one important takeaway:
the coalition that elected Napoleon was from the Atlasian right. Napoleon's views are generally left-of-center and so were many of his supporters. But his voters in both rounds were definitely to the right of the Atlasian political center. Part of this might have to do with the fact that the
Overton window of Atlasian politics is significantly to the left of that in America, so people who are slightly to the left of the American political center may be slightly to the right of the Atlasian political center. Regardless of why, Napoleon's voters in both rounds were definitely to the right of the average Atlasian.
As you'll see later, this is an important fact that says a lot about Atlasian politics going forward, much more than just Napoleon. More to come in the next post
