Super Tuesday county maps

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

Expect Romney to trounce the opposition in the southeast to the point where he wins counties with around 100% of the vote (there is a 15% cutoff for candidates, after which votes can transfer). In most southeastern counties, non-Mormons are either Democrats or inactive with the party. Example: Bannock County (Pocatello and ISU) is 47% Mormon but is a Democratic "stronghold". Non-Mormons there vote overwhelmingly for Democrats. It will be a demoralizing bloodbath for the anti-Romneys anywhere east of Twin Falls and turnout will be insane. I'll post some predictions on counties/regions worth talking about.

Blaine County: I expect a Romney landslide via disporportinate Mormon membership in the GOP there (up to 30%) and wealthy residents of Ketchum but Paul will come in a strong second.
Twin Falls: Romney will win over 50%, with Santorum and Paul vying for second. Mormons don't completely dominate the GOP.
Ada County/Canyon County: Romney will come close to 50% in the Boise metro area, regardless of the Mormon percentage, that on paper, is fairly low (higher during elections in Canyon because of the high Hispanic population that does not participate in elections). Wealthy and lower middle class Republicans who aren't wealthy in Meridian and Eagle will still tend to support Romney if they are non-Mormon. Romney may have some difficulties in Nampa and Caldwell, which are more downscale and contain many evangelicals. Santorum will come in second in Canyon but Paul will come in second in Ada.
Elmore County: Mountain Home is "trailer trash" and non-Mormon. Santorum could squeak out a win.
Central Idaho: It's hard to know what to expect here. Mormons are still a very significant part of the electorate but the GOP is notoriously extreme in these locales. Romney could conceivably come in third in a few counties like Adams, Valley and Idaho (especially Idaho).
Idaho working class belt(Lewiston, Clearwater County, Shoshone County): yet again, it's hard to know what to expect. Voters here are not as actively Republican as you'd expect and in Lewiston they're not as ridiculous/are more traditional country club types. Still: I expect Romney to come in third or at the very least do poorly here. Paul will win Shoshone and Clearwater. He may come close in Nez Pearce. Santorum may come in second in either of these counties.  Conceivably, he could win but I'd place my bets on a Paul victory. Benewah County will also probably be won by Paul or Santorum (definitely not Romney).
Latah County: most likely Paul country, I expect a 40%+ win from him there. Romney will come in second and has a small chance of pulling off a win. Devil's advocate: mormons may be up to 20% of the electorate and college towns tend to have wealthier neighborhoods home to professors and professionals who actually turnout.
Kootenai County: results here will likely mirror what happened in Spokane. It will be a tight threeway race. All three candidates have significant advantages that they didn't have in Spokane: Paul has an active base and the tea party here is even more supportive of him here than in Spokane, Santorum has a larger active evangelical/social conservative base, Romney has more Mormons and institutional support. I'm placing my bets on a small Paul win.

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

What percentage do you think he'll get in Idaho overall? >50%? >60%?

Frankly the multiple rounds of voting make it pretty difficult to predict, but I suspect most Gingrich/Santorum voters will go to Romney before Paul.

In the mid-50s to high 50s.

Santorum will finish above 15% in most of the non-Mormonland portions of the state and Gingrich votes will flow towards him. There will be very few places where it's only a Romney-Paul battle.

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

I guess I know my state pretty well...