Interesting how a poll from one of the few reputable pollsters polling this race is "junk." I agree that it's most likely an outlier, but the idea that this race is shifting in Nelson's favor isn't implausible.
It’s not, but a 7-point lead is a bit hard to believe, especially after their Cruz +9 (54-45) poll (which most people called an "outlier" as well). That said, I’d rather be Nelson than Scott at this point, and people might be underestimating how much the red tide problem is hurting Scott.
It's not remotely implausible that Dems could have a substantial lead in FL and Reps have a substantial lead in TX at the same time. In 2012, Nelson won 55-42 and Cruz won 56-40. That is if anything a far higher divergence (Nelson +13 and Cruz +14) than merely Nelson +7 and Cruz + 9. Both of the 2 Quinnipiac polls are consistent with the fundamentals of each state/past election results of each state, with Nelson doing a bit worse because Scott is a good candidate willing to spend millions, while Cruz is doing worse because Beto is a good candidate running in a good Dem year in TX.
