2014 US Congressional Election Results (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 21, 2024, 04:59:30 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  2014 US Congressional Election Results (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 2014 US Congressional Election Results  (Read 191706 times)
Mogrovejo
Rookie
**
Posts: 90
« on: November 05, 2014, 12:29:34 AM »

Ignoring the fact it's a midterm year, 2014 is shaping up to be the GOP version of 2012.  The polls were in the right direction, but actually underestimated their party's strength.  They carried nearly every toss up.  And they've even picked up a few races no one thought they would.

Per Nate Silver:

The pre-election polling averages in the 10 most competitive Senate races had a 6-percentage point Democratic bias as compared to the votes counted in each state so far.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/liveblog/special-coverage-the-2014-midterms/?#livepress-update-20407872

The only thing we know about systematic polling failure: sometimes it will happen and it's impossible to predict which party will benefit from it.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.02 seconds with 10 queries.