Are there any EU member states where parliaments are unlikely to ratify the Reform Treaty?
Dave
In France the UMP, NC, and MoDem are all quite certain to vote for it, and that's already a large majority. Most likely a majority of the PS will also vote for, only the PCF voting against.
The PS were actually more strongly supportive of the earlier referendum than the UMP. They'll all vote for it. Some of the rightist allies of the UMP won't, though.
Actually no, there were a few anti-constitution forces in the party the largest being Laurent Fabius and his followers. IIRC Henri Emmanuelli, the douchebag Arnaud Montebourg, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, and Manuel Valls were also against the treaty. 41.09% of the party voted against it in the internal election (41.89% of the Greenies were also against) when only 6.5% of the UMP was against it, IIRC mainly the kid Nicolas Dupont-Aignan and his DLR movement. The MPF's only MP will surely vote against it, as will the DLR (only dupont-aignan IIRC), and maybe a few DVDs and a few UMPs that migrated from the RPF or other anti-EU parties. In 2005 6 UMP deputies were against it.
