latest Betfair odds

[Sir Mohamed]

Wtf?! The Trumpster has 77% chance? I'd give him 51% now, with 49% for Marco.

[Sir Mohamed]

Wtf?! The Trumpster has 77% chance? I'd give him 51% now, with 49% for Marco.

He's going to get demolished on Super Tuesday, and is down 20 points in his home state.  How on earth did you arrive at 49%?

Maybe wishful thinking; I have to admit, although I don't support Marco at all. If Rubio performs well on Super Tuesday, it may come down a head-to-head race. The Trumpster may lose this, since he's a poor debater and has so much opposition within the Republican Party.

[Sir Mohamed]

LOL, Rubio at 4%.

[Sir Mohamed]

Now I'm curious how it changed since the big five.

[Sir Mohamed]

LOL, as it seems, the Drumpf momentum is over.

[Sir Mohamed]

Looks about right, but the Trumpster's 74% 67% (typo) seem a little too high. I think he will fall short of the 1,237 delegates.

[Sir Mohamed]

Looks about right, but the Trumpster's 74% seem a little too high. I think he will fall short of the 1,237 delegates.

Trump is at 67.6, not 74.

That's what I meant. I think it's actually not higher than 50%.

[Sir Mohamed]

I just can't imagine Gingrich as VP. He has no appeal to additional voter groups or states, something that the Trumpster badly needs. He would be helpful in a Trump Administration because of his experience; but others are experienced as well.

[Sir Mohamed]

Winning Individual
Clinton 70.4
Trump 27.3
Sanders 2.8

Dem. VP
Castro 21.7
Kaine 18.9
Warren 14.3
Perez 10.0
Sanders 7.4
Brown 6.9
Booker 6.7
Franken 6.7
Patrick 4.5
Biden 3.6

GOP VP
Gingrich 40.0
Ernst 12.2
Sessions 8.3
Brown 6.7
Martinez 6.7
Carson 5.3
Kasich 4.8
Christie 4.2
Fallin 3.3
Rubio 3.1

Four years ago at about this time on Intrade:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=152060.msg3306644#msg3306644

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So, it's gonna be Fallin. She’s between 3 and 4%, like Ryan was

[Sir Mohamed]

These numbers are, quite frankly, largely nonsense. Does anyone think that Jeb has a higher chance for the nomination than Cruz? That’s laughable.

[Sir Mohamed]

President Trump won’t happen. Don’t worry.

[Sir Mohamed]

President Trump won’t happen. Don’t worry.

I don't think the odds on him will really tank until late October, however.  Gamblers are holding out for October surprises, criminal motions against Clinton, what have you.

Even if (and that’s a very big if) Clinton has to get out and Uncle Joe would step in, he would crush the Trumpster badly. His party is totally divided, he has angered too many important voter groups and the electoral college is absolutely not in his favor. He has already shown that he’s not willing to change and a majority of Americans won’t elect a narcissist bully with bigoted language.

[Sir Mohamed]

Kasich at 20% for the VP slot? How about no?

[Sir Mohamed]

Stunning, Kaine at 87% for the VP slot.